Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2014-10-23
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2014-10-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79463 |
14836 |
1445 |
345 |
101 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
4 |
5 |
118 |
131 |
97 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
33 |
160 |
106 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
105 |
140 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
195 |
169 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
134 |
973 |
5535 |
4815 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-10-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
78629 |
15624 |
1523 |
228 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
6 |
24 |
118 |
169 |
75 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
52 |
197 |
84 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
117 |
136 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
173 |
186 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
196 |
1567 |
5373 |
4366 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-10-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
Date: 2014-10-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79962 |
14506 |
1508 |
249 |
55 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
9 |
81 |
150 |
163 |
27 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
4 |
92 |
213 |
79 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
50 |
105 |
162 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
140 |
206 |
170 |
3 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
71 |
440 |
2288 |
4130 |
4130 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79962 |
14565 |
1527 |
265 |
54 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
9 |
26 |
140 |
163 |
32 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
90 |
205 |
88 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
43 |
111 |
159 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
129 |
202 |
177 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
434 |
2284 |
4131 |
4130 |
|
Date: 2014-10-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79799 |
14742 |
1467 |
246 |
37 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
11 |
160 |
237 |
119 |
37 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
40 |
128 |
264 |
73 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
70 |
157 |
132 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
42 |
171 |
265 |
75 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
138 |
739 |
2945 |
3835 |
3037 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79799 |
14790 |
1518 |
260 |
39 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
11 |
125 |
210 |
133 |
30 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
27 |
114 |
250 |
86 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
63 |
158 |
129 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
40 |
165 |
279 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
129 |
720 |
2955 |
3835 |
3037 |
|
Date: 2014-10-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
80188 |
15117 |
1404 |
207 |
20 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
11 |
46 |
275 |
198 |
35 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
10 |
97 |
334 |
149 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
60 |
165 |
164 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
27 |
223 |
335 |
112 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
94 |
298 |
3077 |
4977 |
1394 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
80184 |
14727 |
1211 |
186 |
25 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
15 |
270 |
200 |
82 |
41 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
97 |
188 |
248 |
69 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
50 |
71 |
166 |
105 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
21 |
100 |
199 |
166 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
8 |
94 |
340 |
595 |
3144 |
4978 |
1394 |
|
Date: 2014-10-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79012 |
15337 |
1793 |
393 |
37 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
16 |
107 |
236 |
221 |
46 |
35 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
53 |
109 |
266 |
118 |
32 |
8 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
85 |
141 |
178 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
72 |
169 |
207 |
181 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
133 |
394 |
2436 |
4993 |
2203 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79010 |
15087 |
1577 |
330 |
32 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
18 |
189 |
206 |
116 |
21 |
30 |
10 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
117 |
207 |
256 |
87 |
34 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
55 |
69 |
169 |
150 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
53 |
82 |
131 |
152 |
106 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
4 |
161 |
321 |
538 |
2524 |
4993 |
2203 |
|
Date: 2014-10-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
78844 |
14780 |
1962 |
447 |
89 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
31 |
127 |
175 |
209 |
54 |
36 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
33 |
110 |
233 |
170 |
60 |
18 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
78 |
128 |
242 |
51 |
12 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
39 |
158 |
265 |
249 |
9 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
143 |
328 |
1993 |
5562 |
2446 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
78843 |
14614 |
1813 |
318 |
87 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
32 |
169 |
134 |
162 |
18 |
33 |
9 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
127 |
136 |
248 |
122 |
53 |
20 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
42 |
76 |
174 |
250 |
38 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
107 |
133 |
192 |
192 |
8 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
101 |
283 |
479 |
2065 |
5563 |
2446 |
|
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