Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-10-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 449 11894 2398 419 6 0 0 0
OW 0 389 639 821 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 135 787 673 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 135 835 373 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 231 1116 193 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 905 5085 4398
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 239 10701 2495 603 33 0 0 0
OW 0 375 598 879 166 5 0 0
VODI 0 24 95 728 882 74 2 0
ODI 0 3 27 135 564 584 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 240 989 298 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 737 5796 4749
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96 8851 1376 204 44 0 0 0
OW 0 1626 1082 514 143 0 0 0
VODI 0 362 680 1340 217 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 507 756 121 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 656 918 82 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 155 1249 6259 4794
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 6657 965 234 9 0 0 0
OW 0 2111 1368 764 129 34 0 0
VODI 0 439 895 1467 411 52 0 0
ODI 0 3 95 744 728 109 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 208 800 586 65 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 417 1470 6497 4784
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 7332 1251 358 23 5 0 0
OW 0 1394 993 704 110 36 0 0
VODI 0 456 887 1269 390 42 0 0
ODI 0 28 191 882 771 106 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 191 765 533 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 435 1529 6491 4784

Date: 2014-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 4318 973 272 20 16 0 0
OW 0 1535 1686 1206 223 30 0 0
VODI 0 335 1051 1610 687 211 8 0
ODI 0 0 65 652 979 569 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 133 691 824 121 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 301 1483 6820 5234
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 4496 1169 555 62 19 0 0
OW 0 1246 1355 921 176 31 0 0
VODI 0 446 1143 1429 656 201 7 0
ODI 0 0 99 762 860 464 13 0
CDI 0 0 9 182 818 859 93 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 329 1559 6852 5234

Date: 2014-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3302 869 201 33 0 0 0
OW 0 1362 1496 756 81 9 0 0
VODI 0 269 541 2014 496 47 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 355 2282 226 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 551 2300 289 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 1065 7730 5769
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3274 715 328 259 124 0 0
OW 0 1294 824 537 469 110 0 0
VODI 0 365 1217 1737 1128 318 28 0
ODI 0 0 157 547 816 524 206 0
CDI 0 0 1 161 601 1148 319 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 195 1423 7468 5769

Date: 2014-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2014-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2053 501 114 40 26 0 0
OW 0 765 370 149 60 47 0 0
VODI 0 428 442 1389 831 117 0 0
ODI 0 170 231 735 1669 405 0 0
CDI 0 15 119 244 1440 1622 55 0
VCDI 0 0 22 142 510 3745 7709 5917
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2138 576 252 199 253 0 0
OW 0 346 212 281 375 304 0 0
VODI 0 569 551 1103 1473 610 2 0
ODI 0 294 177 745 1479 901 43 0
CDI 0 71 113 238 630 1043 383 0
VCDI 0 13 56 154 394 2851 7336 5917


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