Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-10-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84556 48106 4394 482 3 0 0 0
OW 0 804 1443 1116 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 505 2024 751 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 552 1399 583 0 0
CDI 0 0 28 269 1418 2294 447 0
VCDI 0 0 0 77 579 3021 13201 18893
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82875 48714 4880 436 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1408 1244 918 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 332 757 1714 518 6 0 0
ODI 0 2 90 712 1298 250 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 329 1171 1766 129 0
VCDI 0 0 0 174 824 3609 13670 19203
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77238 54704 6590 735 68 0 0 0
OW 0 106 818 1071 187 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 115 1493 744 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 457 1637 297 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 129 999 2496 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 94 402 3899 18154 14488
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88515 42898 5687 615 10 0 0 0
OW 0 235 947 1653 126 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 179 1579 781 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 19 351 1648 286 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 181 800 2108 199 6
VCDI 0 0 0 98 453 3907 19484 14236
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88515 42896 5793 1040 23 0 0 0
OW 0 233 800 1202 118 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 216 1583 825 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 19 389 1468 282 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 166 932 1938 196 7
VCDI 0 0 0 97 452 4075 19487 14235

Date: 2014-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86709 43642 5279 708 7 0 0 0
OW 0 457 1080 1621 202 1 0 0
VODI 0 39 221 1614 859 46 0 0
ODI 0 8 23 365 1539 436 1 0
CDI 0 2 40 113 867 1955 312 35
VCDI 0 0 2 152 764 2901 16875 18173
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86709 43422 5438 1116 18 0 0 0
OW 0 662 854 1157 198 3 0 0
VODI 0 45 279 1622 747 51 0 0
ODI 0 15 21 413 1529 429 0 0
CDI 0 4 48 95 954 1744 226 27
VCDI 0 0 5 170 792 3112 16962 18181

Date: 2014-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86724 42862 4992 498 29 0 0 0
OW 0 265 1089 1114 109 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 131 2303 701 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 17 357 2172 143 12 0
CDI 0 0 2 172 1095 2765 133 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 306 2713 18084 18223
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86724 42302 4931 1017 155 8 0 0
OW 0 751 785 1044 320 25 0 0
VODI 0 67 440 1532 873 148 0 0
ODI 0 8 27 559 1409 491 18 0
CDI 0 1 34 132 1128 1702 347 0
VCDI 0 0 14 174 527 3268 17864 18223

Date: 2014-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85034 42080 5812 696 22 0 0 0
OW 0 400 1198 1329 102 1 0 0
VODI 0 19 194 1981 754 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 491 1536 392 13 0
CDI 0 0 17 152 1209 1866 276 0
VCDI 0 0 0 123 752 4133 17159 19268
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85034 41362 5826 1171 167 13 0 0
OW 0 949 796 1166 188 59 0 0
VODI 0 157 451 1342 976 208 37 0
ODI 0 31 119 613 951 616 121 0
CDI 0 0 24 278 897 1318 467 16
VCDI 0 0 14 202 1196 4208 16823 19252

Date: 2014-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83251 40814 6680 980 50 0 0 0
OW 0 589 1108 1378 205 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 315 1573 1153 44 0 0
ODI 0 3 16 417 1369 616 0 0
CDI 0 1 23 181 1065 2127 249 0
VCDI 0 0 11 120 629 5064 18293 18674
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83251 39955 6692 1622 353 102 3 0
OW 0 1034 810 1012 456 65 32 0
VODI 0 403 438 947 1203 523 76 0
ODI 0 56 144 538 705 720 240 0
CDI 0 7 36 296 704 1308 551 0
VCDI 0 2 33 234 1050 5133 17640 18674


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ti. 30. mai 10:24:58 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy