Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-09-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2638 14836 921 47 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1312 619 206 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 160 553 1480 103 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 536 752 76 10 0
CDI 0 0 1 47 628 873 259 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 900 3909 1121
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2625 14186 758 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1780 584 166 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 404 676 1346 132 34 0 0
ODI 0 1 38 590 662 58 10 0
CDI 0 0 1 91 702 704 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 911 4029 1464
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2054 15595 1555 124 2 0 0 0
OW 0 198 917 516 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 48 1325 329 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 199 993 89 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 0 397 1025 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 552 4344 1761
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1994 14825 1394 74 0 0 0 0
OW 0 558 785 550 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 187 1007 637 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 161 648 467 6 0
CDI 0 0 1 26 287 769 184 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 51 661 4657 2077
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1994 14920 1491 164 0 0 0 0
OW 0 470 675 604 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 199 810 773 42 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 205 481 486 12 0
CDI 0 0 1 35 327 674 167 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 36 727 4668 2077

Date: 2014-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2237 14487 1001 39 0 0 0 0
OW 0 758 825 394 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 324 1160 400 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 12 261 694 327 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 58 390 739 142 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 144 885 4631 2040
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2237 14528 1224 125 0 0 0 0
OW 0 706 620 485 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 100 290 960 577 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 26 260 521 381 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 72 398 645 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 128 914 4650 2040

Date: 2014-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2198 15484 1979 200 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 359 588 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 28 951 254 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 137 1053 102 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 8 408 1124 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 914 5055 1155
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2198 14289 1265 144 0 0 0 0
OW 0 917 436 338 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 300 533 822 420 4 0 0
ODI 0 3 103 371 611 217 0 0
CDI 0 0 28 156 452 650 30 0
VCDI 0 0 2 53 273 1269 5043 1155

Date: 2014-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2167 14624 2018 270 0 0 0 0
OW 0 93 506 784 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 64 836 337 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 145 1000 139 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 24 426 987 35 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 117 1610 5433 393
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2167 13692 1481 189 0 0 0 0
OW 0 771 595 358 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 244 369 989 367 35 0 0
ODI 0 10 102 293 890 194 7 0
CDI 0 0 39 138 422 684 40 0
VCDI 0 0 3 94 234 1847 5421 393

Date: 2014-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1824 14154 1924 307 0 0 0 0
OW 0 204 501 911 110 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 89 861 453 83 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 109 933 218 9 0
CDI 0 0 1 3 328 1167 63 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 1035 4915 1857
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1824 13463 1483 211 32 0 0 0
OW 0 705 572 310 48 10 0 0
VODI 0 190 408 1190 333 83 0 0
ODI 0 0 51 399 872 283 29 0
CDI 0 0 1 77 427 857 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 135 1270 4917 1857


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