Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-09-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2373 17265 2002 109 0 0 0 0
OW 0 700 537 228 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 414 877 176 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 358 691 29 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 90 595 773 202 0
VCDI 0 0 0 70 155 1036 4966 12157
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2662 16801 1986 146 0 0 0 0
OW 0 633 472 152 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 357 712 338 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 12 341 596 65 10 0
CDI 0 0 4 124 643 664 186 0
VCDI 0 0 0 91 232 1402 6250 10943
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1489 17660 2738 119 0 0 0 0
OW 0 274 426 249 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 155 677 140 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 174 590 188 113 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 433 860 396 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 125 664 6385 11877
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1422 16749 3155 214 0 0 0 0
OW 0 168 383 437 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 186 661 157 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 198 513 214 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 537 1155 341 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 88 831 4775 13596
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1422 16725 3249 279 1 0 0 0
OW 0 161 299 380 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 165 566 68 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 261 539 94 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 84 558 1239 184 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 130 871 4935 13596

Date: 2014-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1503 16485 3128 188 0 0 0 0
OW 0 343 362 343 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 280 418 145 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 22 244 354 108 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 71 379 914 341 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 134 781 5193 14048
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1503 16398 3185 191 0 0 0 0
OW 0 359 272 262 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 148 248 388 88 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 87 318 288 33 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 98 417 967 143 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 203 803 5391 14048

Date: 2014-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2067 17016 3056 185 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 345 207 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 56 613 87 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 169 486 23 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 318 1209 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 96 1200 6323 12330
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2067 16233 2906 193 0 0 0 0
OW 0 490 183 197 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 312 260 301 121 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 104 334 198 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 149 379 417 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 39 291 2007 6319 12330

Date: 2014-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4027 15524 2364 133 1 0 0 0
OW 0 63 332 353 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 45 500 152 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 180 424 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 106 300 731 172 5
VCDI 0 0 0 24 108 1524 9466 9286
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4027 14533 2098 124 2 0 0 0
OW 0 661 185 144 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 382 301 338 132 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 154 427 217 9 1 0
CDI 0 0 4 214 383 287 66 18
VCDI 0 0 0 49 240 1998 9571 9273

Date: 2014-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4206 14939 2169 180 0 0 0 0
OW 0 116 356 458 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 34 425 299 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 84 537 100 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 224 702 245 18
VCDI 0 0 0 23 128 811 6956 12777
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4206 13843 1830 116 26 0 0 0
OW 0 722 184 115 75 0 0 0
VODI 0 448 251 240 174 15 0 0
ODI 0 42 252 349 215 18 0 0
CDI 0 0 42 317 447 158 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 87 270 1428 7174 12795


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh ti. 30. mai 09:52:59 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy