Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-09-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3949 16019 2005 276 0 0 0 0
OW 0 80 419 539 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 340 611 107 3 3 1
ODI 0 0 114 626 381 13 35 12
CDI 0 0 46 629 1524 885 558 113
VCDI 0 0 0 18 104 1219 5192 9999
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4665 15426 1862 268 0 0 0 0
OW 0 157 536 405 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 298 605 46 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 209 612 290 1 1 0
CDI 0 0 155 729 1604 837 334 86
VCDI 0 0 0 23 256 1544 5511 9308
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5194 14426 2973 414 0 0 0 0
OW 0 216 333 500 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 232 1072 136 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 57 557 814 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 16 220 1188 1401 51 1
VCDI 0 0 0 33 36 904 6079 8985
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3985 15830 2580 407 0 0 0 0
OW 0 71 301 569 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 314 1049 179 39 0 0
ODI 0 4 14 638 638 57 0 0
CDI 0 6 17 149 1026 1108 263 0
VCDI 0 0 17 93 210 804 5510 9956
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3985 15797 2468 441 5 0 0 0
OW 0 99 398 575 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 324 1031 159 40 0 0
ODI 0 4 18 611 698 50 0 0
CDI 0 6 13 153 946 1114 276 0
VCDI 0 1 22 94 225 804 5497 9956

Date: 2014-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4662 15210 2270 341 0 0 0 0
OW 0 106 371 647 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 103 390 824 195 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 131 569 600 29 0 0
CDI 0 0 38 267 691 1238 172 0
VCDI 0 0 25 207 252 637 5517 10372
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4662 15128 2210 455 0 0 0 0
OW 0 169 389 510 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 121 432 801 180 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 130 629 637 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 38 241 613 1239 161 0
VCDI 0 0 26 219 294 644 5528 10372

Date: 2014-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3035 16565 2509 103 0 0 0 0
OW 0 530 858 371 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 236 1380 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 11 321 768 29 1 0
CDI 0 0 9 74 524 939 58 0
VCDI 0 0 13 150 165 748 5462 10968
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3035 16533 2513 153 0 0 0 0
OW 0 276 587 290 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 262 289 749 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 166 651 524 12 0 0
CDI 0 6 35 265 648 918 209 0
VCDI 0 1 46 291 273 786 5312 10968

Date: 2014-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3415 16236 2291 195 0 0 0 0
OW 0 540 816 247 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 307 1163 56 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 10 400 653 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 11 68 673 558 315 0
VCDI 0 0 19 116 155 627 4942 12013
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3415 16187 2247 190 0 0 0 0
OW 0 369 508 98 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 206 443 620 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 191 678 392 2 0 0
CDI 0 9 13 363 755 406 429 0
VCDI 0 10 52 240 372 784 4828 12013

Date: 2014-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2373 17265 2002 109 0 0 0 0
OW 0 700 537 228 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 414 877 176 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 358 691 29 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 90 595 773 202 0
VCDI 0 0 0 70 155 1036 4966 12157
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2373 17501 1954 103 0 0 0 0
OW 0 397 474 138 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 401 633 101 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 77 425 487 43 0 0
CDI 0 0 31 228 641 540 280 0
VCDI 0 0 20 205 388 1255 4892 12157


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