Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-09-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3007 14235 1212 476 1 0 0 0
OW 0 144 344 757 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 135 1382 639 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 33 289 1299 170 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 117 1123 1409 172 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 377 1577 2746 335
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2640 14534 1242 380 2 0 0 0
OW 0 238 420 702 129 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 188 1398 548 35 0 0
ODI 0 0 36 408 1151 105 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 108 1330 1413 272 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 124 1282 2783 590
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3034 14215 1255 188 0 0 0 0
OW 0 111 580 706 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 70 1734 319 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 353 2121 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 985 2169 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 689 2856 553
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1919 15191 1229 119 0 0 0 0
OW 0 291 715 670 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 288 1435 397 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 456 1725 123 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 66 1154 1856 64 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 793 2873 644
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1919 15304 1340 210 0 0 0 0
OW 0 190 638 660 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 255 1386 484 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 417 1673 102 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 73 1119 1693 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 33 963 2885 644

Date: 2014-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2957 14341 865 103 0 0 0 0
OW 0 721 732 460 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 111 405 1390 125 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 70 720 1330 18 0 0
CDI 0 0 13 136 1643 872 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 108 1194 2950 763
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2957 14726 1053 139 0 0 0 0
OW 0 381 598 552 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 344 1361 186 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 78 598 1367 31 0 0
CDI 0 0 12 155 1518 868 33 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 149 1185 2947 763

Date: 2014-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2732 14617 1310 158 0 0 0 0
OW 0 556 728 598 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 166 1760 245 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 180 1921 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 36 605 1552 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 589 3215 971
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2732 14791 1233 147 0 0 0 0
OW 0 304 589 554 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 87 272 1383 212 7 0 0
ODI 0 4 82 454 1240 68 0 0
CDI 0 0 30 191 1246 1073 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 89 1057 3229 971

Date: 2014-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2774 14617 1367 125 0 0 0 0
OW 0 785 680 614 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 255 1605 189 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 268 1658 72 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 23 619 1411 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 869 3164 911
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2774 15000 1278 102 0 0 0 0
OW 0 367 648 391 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 297 1427 167 5 0 0
ODI 0 16 40 505 1046 87 0 0
CDI 0 0 40 208 1123 894 37 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 132 1366 3146 911

Date: 2014-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3297 14341 978 111 0 0 0 0
OW 0 989 749 591 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 315 1462 305 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 410 1283 187 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 32 925 868 234 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 636 3201 1076
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3297 14749 972 149 6 0 0 0
OW 0 493 653 385 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 138 286 1171 265 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 107 462 746 257 0 0
CDI 0 0 25 384 1265 517 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 55 185 917 3356 1076


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