Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-08-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 733 11836 1736 327 1 0 0 0
OW 0 67 499 1095 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 104 1409 922 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 150 2458 639 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 4084 3473 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 334 1078 913 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 913 12546 1335 242 0 0 0 0
OW 0 184 597 1129 133 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 125 1141 981 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 18 174 2154 968 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 1153 3418 2548 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 155 188 1149 725
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1508 12853 1540 282 6 0 0 0
OW 0 3 344 868 39 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 20 1191 660 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 96 2877 641 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 830 3345 1185 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 1017 2453 202
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3007 12026 1345 244 9 0 0 0
OW 0 30 484 799 76 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 47 1301 706 51 10 0
ODI 0 0 4 134 2331 665 235 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 721 2352 1847 181
VCDI 0 0 0 0 162 1129 2065 84
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3007 12033 1398 328 28 0 0 0
OW 0 23 416 668 99 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 62 1290 807 57 15 0
ODI 0 0 4 199 2176 578 227 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 778 2383 1748 172
VCDI 0 0 0 0 117 1172 2167 93

Date: 2014-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2234 13305 1143 195 20 3 0 0
OW 0 177 622 665 87 7 0 0
VODI 0 11 138 1238 830 103 0 0
ODI 0 2 26 183 1669 1044 139 0
CDI 0 0 7 40 383 1369 3105 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 231 2486 575
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2234 13324 1183 286 54 1 0 0
OW 0 150 544 518 117 8 0 0
VODI 0 18 179 1275 945 140 0 0
ODI 0 3 23 201 1445 945 122 0
CDI 0 0 7 41 433 1409 2949 28
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 254 2659 576

Date: 2014-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3235 12865 1080 179 14 3 0 0
OW 0 90 669 625 5 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 72 1653 249 7 1 0
ODI 0 0 1 136 2483 69 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 390 2585 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 424 4176 936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3235 12679 1006 310 66 5 0 0
OW 0 237 512 542 94 9 2 0
VODI 0 36 263 1337 1002 108 11 0
ODI 0 3 28 347 1271 634 259 0
CDI 0 0 13 79 663 1664 2273 36
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 672 1730 900

Date: 2014-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1073 14393 2085 265 12 6 0 0
OW 0 40 482 844 18 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 61 1283 558 11 6 0
ODI 0 0 4 193 1696 440 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 1014 1638 431 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 717 4012 721
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1073 14150 1894 319 76 12 0 0
OW 0 217 476 627 125 29 11 0
VODI 0 60 212 1244 1020 257 9 0
ODI 0 6 42 288 922 890 220 0
CDI 0 0 8 143 1011 1041 2774 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 164 591 1450 716

Date: 2014-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2982 13913 1025 174 18 2 0 0
OW 0 180 678 608 41 9 0 0
VODI 0 4 150 1279 597 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 25 288 1383 411 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 1463 1249 192 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 100 1432 3491 305
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2982 13581 895 277 61 3 0 0
OW 0 417 519 457 215 12 0 0
VODI 0 99 421 1076 1000 208 0 0
ODI 0 0 39 496 901 679 93 0
CDI 0 0 4 108 1305 1681 1831 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 120 534 1760 305


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