Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-08-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 441 9497 2211 456 3 0 0 0
OW 0 54 325 907 111 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 94 1260 978 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 368 2539 354 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 3437 1637 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1502 2111 3653 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 504 10664 1455 384 21 0 0 0
OW 0 73 559 840 159 23 0 0
VODI 0 15 183 1249 962 65 0 0
ODI 0 0 16 454 2077 370 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 2881 2155 715 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1292 3900 1014 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 537 11321 1848 304 6 0 0 0
OW 0 18 317 994 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 18 1725 734 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 97 2319 727 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 3064 4157 1729 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 332 1675 67
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 668 11518 1907 346 9 0 0 0
OW 0 43 480 954 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 111 1538 851 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 164 2787 293 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 4241 3779 59 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 795 1310 122
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 668 11525 1993 401 11 0 0 0
OW 0 37 422 979 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 87 1474 854 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 168 2688 270 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 4303 3970 96 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 614 1273 122

Date: 2014-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 845 12188 1471 303 3 0 0 0
OW 0 81 586 1162 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 84 1320 952 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 172 2144 999 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 1526 4495 1404 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 313 249 1018 640
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 845 12182 1571 461 18 0 0 0
OW 0 87 495 1057 142 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 83 1281 962 44 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 182 1927 906 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 1619 4580 1614 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 326 237 808 630

Date: 2014-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1620 12195 1764 212 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 422 821 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 21 1320 491 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 3539 219 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 1259 4188 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 66 775 2838 135
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1620 11922 1468 369 30 0 0 0
OW 0 262 559 937 288 12 0 0
VODI 0 11 163 928 1054 144 0 0
ODI 0 0 17 195 2118 532 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 1582 4186 1739 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 294 323 1140 135

Date: 2014-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2125 12586 1439 229 7 0 0 0
OW 0 24 386 868 50 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 32 1302 658 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 118 2743 566 59 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 754 2667 1846 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 713 2664 156
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2125 12144 1082 418 60 3 0 0
OW 0 398 542 872 252 20 0 0
VODI 0 59 173 985 939 193 36 0
ODI 0 9 46 188 1813 409 255 0
CDI 0 0 19 82 847 2949 3154 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 314 412 1124 147

Date: 2014-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2289 13073 1175 236 16 0 0 0
OW 0 89 548 725 107 4 0 0
VODI 0 4 102 1260 744 66 8 0
ODI 0 0 20 210 2042 839 162 0
CDI 0 0 1 40 405 1786 2838 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 18 265 2416 593
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2289 12596 985 453 121 11 0 0
OW 0 371 548 789 314 43 0 0
VODI 0 113 199 905 1054 151 72 0
ODI 0 60 46 205 1257 524 267 0
CDI 0 26 64 89 540 1895 4301 125
VCDI 0 0 4 31 46 336 784 468


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