Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-08-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89602 32205 5361 2086 15 0 0 0
OW 0 68 564 2038 189 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 140 2687 1380 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 1360 4673 491 7 0
CDI 0 1 1 177 7271 5842 704 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 2712 8377 14960 4056
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91893 31659 4072 1952 34 0 0 0
OW 0 91 875 1951 279 23 0 0
VODI 0 15 231 2686 1358 111 0 0
ODI 0 0 22 1554 4014 523 8 0
CDI 0 1 0 207 6264 5152 3031 528
VCDI 0 0 0 28 2109 7702 11939 6736
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90316 34021 4602 1829 9 0 0 0
OW 0 19 546 2128 125 3 0 0
VODI 0 5 44 3260 1227 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 724 4610 1278 44 0
CDI 0 0 9 62 6454 7047 2599 3
VCDI 0 0 0 22 224 6544 15786 3478
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91203 33740 4807 1729 20 0 0 0
OW 0 70 841 2026 107 13 0 0
VODI 0 5 187 3134 1276 52 6 0
ODI 0 1 16 902 4993 464 51 0
CDI 0 0 8 109 6612 6858 1612 52
VCDI 0 0 0 22 189 3235 11365 11343
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91203 33754 4941 1876 26 2 0 0
OW 0 56 728 1962 147 12 0 0
VODI 0 4 168 3104 1280 73 8 0
ODI 0 2 11 874 4868 434 47 0
CDI 0 0 11 84 6697 6965 1789 66
VCDI 0 0 0 22 179 3136 11190 11329

Date: 2014-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92186 34035 4088 1728 24 0 0 0
OW 0 219 1007 2056 159 8 0 0
VODI 0 25 314 2797 1543 100 25 0
ODI 0 0 38 854 3867 1418 56 1
CDI 0 0 6 156 3031 6728 3503 93
VCDI 0 0 0 25 1042 3386 10554 11976
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92186 34037 4225 1904 52 0 0 0
OW 0 221 853 1901 254 19 0 0
VODI 0 20 331 2781 1523 108 31 0
ODI 0 1 34 878 3674 1313 39 1
CDI 0 0 9 130 3177 6934 3678 216
VCDI 0 0 1 22 986 3266 10390 11853

Date: 2014-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94912 32638 4468 1334 19 0 0 0
OW 0 8 867 1687 69 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 71 3240 859 39 2 0
ODI 0 0 10 352 5026 347 6 0
CDI 0 0 3 65 2208 7431 288 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 401 2511 17338 10836
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94912 32117 4035 1641 111 1 0 0
OW 0 428 907 1860 472 30 7 0
VODI 0 95 391 2307 1741 239 11 0
ODI 0 6 76 708 3141 1495 82 0
CDI 0 0 10 162 2349 6354 5119 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 768 2211 12415 10836

Date: 2014-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93761 34907 4006 1531 33 1 0 0
OW 0 89 874 1847 132 14 0 0
VODI 0 5 267 2473 1095 91 12 0
ODI 0 0 28 524 3715 715 82 0
CDI 0 0 1 220 1892 4186 2864 125
VCDI 0 0 0 6 494 3747 13123 14188
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93761 34060 3504 1828 164 13 0 0
OW 0 680 921 1702 413 55 5 0
VODI 0 228 567 2059 1599 329 52 0
ODI 0 33 156 712 2704 1098 434 3
CDI 0 0 28 294 1749 5263 6590 530
VCDI 0 0 0 6 732 1996 9000 13780

Date: 2014-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94028 35649 3737 1336 55 2 0 0
OW 0 307 1059 1612 212 31 2 0
VODI 0 38 489 1939 1202 174 40 0
ODI 0 0 107 559 2781 994 294 0
CDI 0 0 8 306 1314 3289 4181 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 256 1630 14467 14928
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94028 34631 3396 1627 214 23 7 0
OW 0 800 896 1597 506 87 17 0
VODI 0 424 766 1598 1636 326 144 0
ODI 0 113 254 580 2033 1193 498 0
CDI 0 26 84 336 1229 3702 9721 424
VCDI 0 0 4 36 202 789 8597 14504


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