Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-07-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3287 1170 594 13 0 0 0
OW 0 48 350 777 132 3 0 0
VODI 0 12 107 1294 802 35 13 0
ODI 0 8 26 728 1350 242 42 0
CDI 0 1 33 298 1559 3807 772 103
VCDI 0 0 0 5 289 6046 4325 3811
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3621 1193 635 19 0 0 0
OW 0 149 392 731 203 8 0 0
VODI 0 34 184 1171 903 89 0 0
ODI 0 14 53 677 1133 303 20 0
CDI 0 7 37 317 1919 3907 484 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1175 6508 4414 1781
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4122 1645 715 24 0 0 0
OW 0 19 268 990 120 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 43 1679 842 15 0 0
ODI 0 2 24 378 2237 153 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 74 2737 5058 886 15
VCDI 0 1 0 17 226 1281 5249 3253
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4353 1873 673 35 0 0 0
OW 0 114 311 1229 165 6 0 0
VODI 0 125 68 1319 953 35 0 0
ODI 0 42 50 312 1720 436 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 150 1533 5586 1001 70
VCDI 0 0 0 19 99 2131 5413 2259
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3626 1252 767 152 1 0 0
OW 0 442 410 634 302 19 0 0
VODI 0 322 454 1178 788 144 0 0
ODI 0 95 62 697 1406 508 103 0
CDI 0 148 109 336 1046 4160 1398 964
VCDI 0 2 16 90 811 3362 4913 1365

Date: 2014-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4961 1740 638 25 0 0 0
OW 0 73 487 1196 128 10 0 0
VODI 0 41 83 1439 913 72 0 0
ODI 0 5 60 294 1824 340 18 0
CDI 0 0 2 175 2538 5398 297 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4480 4626 219
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4039 1136 924 92 5 0 0
OW 0 588 466 730 199 39 0 0
VODI 0 186 531 1122 730 137 21 0
ODI 0 83 110 548 1682 591 48 0
CDI 0 184 129 397 1308 4801 1209 5
VCDI 0 0 0 21 1417 4727 3663 214

Date: 2014-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5357 2174 604 14 0 0 0
OW 0 15 471 1012 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 36 1632 576 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 200 2757 216 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 47 1091 7064 184 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 3 1620 5824 1127
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4433 1455 906 61 3 0 0
OW 0 533 453 789 179 25 0 0
VODI 0 145 515 1030 884 67 0 0
ODI 0 89 91 433 1599 1103 52 0
CDI 0 172 169 288 870 5520 1104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 52 900 2183 4852 1127

Date: 2014-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6074 1866 921 19 0 0 0
OW 0 43 383 1200 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 83 1190 775 11 3 0
ODI 0 0 8 248 2286 225 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 86 2455 3932 1438 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2959 5360 421
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4981 1320 1045 65 0 0 0
OW 0 589 349 735 270 0 0 0
VODI 0 239 469 1056 881 72 5 0
ODI 0 107 62 412 1639 873 108 0
CDI 0 204 140 332 1736 3441 2724 0
VCDI 0 0 0 65 1022 2741 3979 421

Date: 2014-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 6422 2017 909 10 0 0 0
OW 0 23 462 1096 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 70 1102 870 13 0 0
ODI 0 12 11 338 2330 222 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 81 1782 5754 464 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 4113 3698 167
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 5362 1433 893 88 24 0 0
OW 0 487 404 694 212 42 0 0
VODI 0 288 473 1051 958 94 0 0
ODI 0 99 83 350 1512 972 0 0
CDI 0 228 168 392 1188 4936 2023 159
VCDI 0 0 0 146 1138 4034 2139 8


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