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Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-07-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1934 885 485 53 14 22 0
OW 0 66 259 677 162 1 0 0
VODI 0 32 179 685 811 94 0 0
ODI 0 25 82 566 1410 390 8 0
CDI 0 2 41 568 4214 3744 2720 0
VCDI 0 1 0 3 333 3072 5937 2607
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2486 765 349 53 20 0 0
OW 0 229 310 486 193 5 0 0
VODI 0 77 286 666 733 219 0 0
ODI 0 20 120 567 1304 617 34 0
CDI 0 22 63 469 2182 4639 2651 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 429 4054 5807 2200
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2736 1368 487 56 0 0 0
OW 0 17 233 726 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 70 1162 615 55 0 0
ODI 0 24 44 461 2175 470 21 0
CDI 0 5 0 124 1446 4730 640 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 83 3793 7890 2518
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2904 1370 561 41 0 0 0
OW 0 40 383 821 107 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 76 1278 692 26 0 0
ODI 0 3 35 713 1591 232 0 0
CDI 0 0 23 209 1657 4142 596 9
VCDI 0 0 0 1 319 4935 5305 3996
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2544 1116 556 86 0 0 0
OW 0 200 212 609 237 20 0 0
VODI 0 117 292 877 836 84 0 0
ODI 0 47 165 1036 1307 522 48 0
CDI 0 56 101 456 1427 3557 2650 902
VCDI 0 0 1 49 514 5152 3203 3103

Date: 2014-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3279 1320 625 11 0 0 0
OW 0 91 337 793 136 2 0 0
VODI 0 28 141 1394 767 56 1 0
ODI 0 13 34 775 1245 234 13 0
CDI 0 8 35 334 1633 3532 828 218
VCDI 0 0 0 1 507 6812 3927 2952
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2777 1072 654 98 0 0 0
OW 0 293 225 587 300 23 0 0
VODI 0 181 338 1111 839 85 8 0
ODI 0 79 126 1114 1184 464 120 0
CDI 0 89 94 399 1495 3158 2074 1092
VCDI 0 0 12 57 383 6906 2567 2078

Date: 2014-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4040 1336 596 4 0 0 0
OW 0 19 452 815 89 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 33 1796 718 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 19 364 2549 125 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 3028 6031 110 0
VCDI 0 1 0 9 306 2219 5854 1514
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3324 955 692 164 0 0 0
OW 0 378 257 529 391 2 0 0
VODI 0 208 454 1193 943 76 2 0
ODI 0 64 68 868 1374 509 23 0
CDI 0 89 100 275 2819 3803 970 0
VCDI 0 1 6 60 1003 3988 4980 1514

Date: 2014-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4253 1742 717 36 0 0 0
OW 0 34 250 1219 143 1 0 0
VODI 0 28 56 1537 891 16 0 0
ODI 0 2 38 409 1993 188 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 121 2204 5377 710 0
VCDI 0 1 1 15 24 1523 6606 1946
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3472 1071 803 145 1 0 0
OW 0 408 393 671 366 22 0 0
VODI 0 245 451 1373 949 83 0 0
ODI 0 68 74 789 1392 410 61 0
CDI 0 124 97 347 1861 3730 2184 4
VCDI 0 1 2 35 578 2859 5071 1942

Date: 2014-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4214 2147 702 51 0 0 0
OW 0 53 419 1249 186 10 0 0
VODI 0 35 82 1444 866 93 1 0
ODI 0 7 53 260 1779 393 18 0
CDI 0 9 2 177 1831 5823 530 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 153 3244 5129 1119
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3288 1478 848 255 26 0 0
OW 0 636 551 886 254 95 0 0
VODI 0 205 445 1163 840 151 29 0
ODI 0 62 119 573 1298 801 59 0
CDI 0 125 110 339 1161 5437 1427 186
VCDI 0 2 0 26 1058 3053 4163 933


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