Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-07-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73967 25109 6018 3643 146 34 25 0
OW 10 370 608 2332 308 4 0 0
VODI 0 226 294 2972 1890 140 1 0
ODI 0 58 140 1143 3669 550 31 0
CDI 0 14 112 1139 6385 6621 4499 23
VCDI 0 2 53 128 1266 10076 19964 13078
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73244 28650 5321 2664 180 20 0 0
OW 9 696 732 1935 450 13 1 0
VODI 0 402 484 2784 1774 294 16 0
ODI 0 137 230 1359 2657 884 88 0
CDI 0 57 151 1073 4438 6899 5093 15
VCDI 0 10 80 163 1683 9422 14398 18542
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73726 29050 6651 3902 221 2 0 0
OW 8 89 625 2260 220 1 0 0
VODI 6 100 362 2699 1562 70 3 0
ODI 3 31 128 979 4448 612 32 0
CDI 16 5 0 339 3912 9462 861 3
VCDI 7 0 0 38 629 9459 19001 15526
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76500 28720 5924 3722 340 0 0 0
OW 10 171 730 2262 411 1 0 0
VODI 0 60 193 2579 1571 45 1 0
ODI 0 19 105 1235 3393 366 3 0
CDI 0 8 30 615 5100 7625 962 48
VCDI 0 9 0 23 1234 9360 13574 20099
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76500 28018 5427 3559 366 0 0 0
OW 10 468 534 1787 638 23 0 0
VODI 0 264 488 2013 1916 168 3 0
ODI 0 103 266 1694 2408 778 77 0
CDI 0 102 219 1149 4493 5835 5386 1854
VCDI 0 32 48 234 2228 10593 9074 18293

Date: 2014-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77968 27951 6477 3682 313 0 0 0
OW 6 173 728 2059 367 12 0 0
VODI 0 68 276 2340 1985 102 1 0
ODI 0 25 107 1191 2641 602 15 0
CDI 0 15 50 822 5338 6644 2029 231
VCDI 0 4 0 9 1050 11882 13630 16255
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77968 27140 6060 3387 388 3 0 0
OW 6 498 510 1701 869 41 0 0
VODI 0 293 511 2103 1662 286 9 0
ODI 0 138 261 1502 2268 837 161 0
CDI 0 154 264 1203 5332 5481 5146 2358
VCDI 0 13 32 207 1175 12594 10359 14128

Date: 2014-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74671 32944 6553 3376 360 2 0 0
OW 5 30 737 1780 155 7 0 0
VODI 0 4 96 3380 1237 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 30 876 5446 263 11 0
CDI 0 0 10 241 5005 12005 262 0
VCDI 0 1 0 20 431 5881 16402 14805
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74670 31822 5889 3333 477 9 0 0
OW 6 510 445 1793 865 44 0 0
VODI 0 335 583 1946 1789 240 2 0
ODI 0 150 186 1254 2426 920 69 0
CDI 0 161 315 1205 5697 7698 4683 80
VCDI 0 1 8 142 1380 9269 11921 14725

Date: 2014-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81000 28859 5682 3509 300 4 0 0
OW 4 56 582 2269 223 14 0 0
VODI 0 28 130 3120 1748 59 0 0
ODI 0 2 57 976 3826 460 6 0
CDI 0 0 1 418 4502 9793 1868 0
VCDI 0 1 1 18 399 4815 18063 14255
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81000 27579 4682 3550 498 14 0 0
OW 4 602 568 1814 672 84 0 0
VODI 0 393 634 2089 1751 235 9 0
ODI 0 167 243 1248 2233 774 128 0
CDI 0 204 310 1543 5041 7788 5303 9
VCDI 0 1 16 66 803 6250 14497 14246

Date: 2014-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78239 30807 7583 3532 166 16 0 0
OW 1 72 714 2327 339 19 0 0
VODI 0 35 180 2862 1927 134 2 0
ODI 0 7 54 953 3261 801 46 0
CDI 0 9 2 438 3164 9888 2266 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 463 7320 19518 9888
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78239 29353 6517 3775 543 39 0 0
OW 1 820 741 1822 587 131 0 0
VODI 0 349 678 1739 1730 371 31 0
ODI 0 167 301 1157 1957 1235 130 0
CDI 0 237 268 1504 3119 10352 4073 383
VCDI 0 4 28 130 1384 6050 17598 9505


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ti. 30. mai 01:18:43 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy