Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-06-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69257 19817 3153 2570 93 0 0 0
OW 17 0 57 1244 154 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 523 921 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 874 299 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 87 457 2913 410 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1336 3736 1115
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71130 18912 2854 2464 67 0 0 0
OW 15 15 145 1040 225 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 344 957 77 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 473 314 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 136 643 2497 1045 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 593 3774 1322
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73290 17615 2817 1997 21 0 0 0
OW 12 0 127 783 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 589 505 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 1167 208 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 117 671 1832 493 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1512 3909 1322
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72715 18473 3083 1899 6 0 0 0
OW 8 2 147 677 67 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 570 576 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 1077 182 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 103 425 1347 888 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 678 4679 1422
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72723 18475 3227 2927 735 0 0 0
OW 0 0 5 135 189 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 97 359 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 390 156 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 126 478 1601 1672 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 420 3892 1422

Date: 2014-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75694 16709 2595 1490 66 0 0 0
OW 9 24 121 554 152 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 468 690 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 140 935 35 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 168 557 870 808 454
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 560 3787 2181
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75703 16733 2728 2366 872 14 0 0
OW 0 0 3 91 159 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 80 277 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 69 461 88 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 214 612 702 1198 1377
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 635 3364 1258

Date: 2014-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73811 18754 2800 1349 31 0 0 0
OW 8 0 33 510 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 649 410 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 125 1472 94 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 289 727 130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 394 4855 2596
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73819 18754 2831 2295 877 16 0 0
OW 0 0 2 69 145 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 39 302 34 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 449 128 71 0
CDI 0 0 0 207 463 878 2723 334
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 150 2191 2262

Date: 2014-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75685 17847 2254 1221 6 0 0 0
OW 6 0 59 626 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 572 635 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 988 80 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 423 666 122 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 661 4274 2774
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2014-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76488 17704 2202 703 31 0 0 0
OW 6 0 96 647 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 505 843 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 683 83 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 328 623 463 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 39 178 2762 4529
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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