Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-06-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1402 718 409 26 1 0 0
OW 0 122 119 339 91 23 0 0
VODI 0 35 127 599 530 92 39 0
ODI 0 27 75 353 1011 402 118 0
CDI 0 35 55 466 2601 6224 2336 0
VCDI 0 11 0 40 236 4253 7997 1170
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1567 712 278 39 9 0 0
OW 0 138 137 442 87 21 0 0
VODI 0 36 163 772 480 34 23 0
ODI 0 9 75 527 1109 208 59 0
CDI 0 5 60 554 2779 6130 3304 399
VCDI 0 2 9 14 477 3666 4804 2954
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1798 829 381 48 30 0 0
OW 0 33 189 678 110 8 0 0
VODI 0 2 75 958 631 49 4 0
ODI 0 1 25 409 1619 380 16 0
CDI 0 12 2 179 3007 5382 2638 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 15 1216 7360 3997
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1765 898 534 52 27 0 0
OW 0 18 179 772 161 5 0 0
VODI 0 11 88 736 775 69 13 0
ODI 0 22 35 460 1403 479 134 0
CDI 0 13 3 309 3622 3460 3825 0
VCDI 0 1 0 3 328 1927 6736 3219
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1668 810 835 235 54 17 0
OW 0 58 66 223 150 31 18 0
VODI 0 39 94 364 330 83 57 0
ODI 0 31 101 450 736 285 133 0
CDI 0 19 132 892 3048 2658 5178 1742
VCDI 0 15 0 50 1842 2856 5305 1477

Date: 2014-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1991 900 544 58 34 0 0
OW 0 108 312 589 192 9 0 0
VODI 0 35 209 711 755 188 0 0
ODI 0 13 100 544 1380 501 40 0
CDI 0 6 59 509 2746 4390 2780 142
VCDI 0 0 0 7 413 3745 4456 3616
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1855 868 775 264 72 0 0
OW 0 91 94 234 156 55 2 0
VODI 0 82 125 349 354 187 8 0
ODI 0 66 155 400 681 307 46 0
CDI 0 59 324 1053 2517 3402 4249 1904
VCDI 0 0 14 93 1572 4844 2971 1854

Date: 2014-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2532 1171 394 52 0 0 0
OW 0 23 381 655 91 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 63 1287 561 49 0 0
ODI 0 3 43 322 2771 432 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 1108 5370 396 0
VCDI 0 0 1 0 278 3453 9098 1461
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2191 921 733 331 32 0 0
OW 0 103 89 224 197 60 0 0
VODI 0 97 110 285 343 175 4 0
ODI 0 76 158 389 609 403 18 0
CDI 0 109 371 1004 2489 3531 5279 245
VCDI 0 0 10 87 892 5103 4198 1216

Date: 2014-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2935 1257 533 54 0 0 0
OW 0 33 305 788 113 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 72 1074 721 39 0 0
ODI 0 7 46 487 1912 432 15 0
CDI 0 0 10 148 1601 4396 687 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 91 3987 7483 2834
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2014-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3287 1170 594 13 0 0 0
OW 0 48 350 777 132 3 0 0
VODI 0 12 107 1294 802 35 13 0
ODI 0 8 26 728 1350 242 42 0
CDI 0 1 33 298 1559 3807 772 103
VCDI 0 0 0 5 289 6046 4325 3811
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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