Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-06-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2482 1893 1664 16 0 0 0
OW 0 85 271 1117 164 5 0 0
VODI 0 34 149 940 849 9 0 0
ODI 0 3 69 500 2806 57 18 0
CDI 0 2 40 454 1253 836 812 11
VCDI 0 0 37 457 1101 3007 7338 17387
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2911 2197 1641 74 8 1 0
OW 0 221 310 1134 175 5 4 0
VODI 0 179 204 915 1498 27 0 0
ODI 0 51 105 437 1696 72 17 0
CDI 0 9 72 567 1044 1012 1227 9
VCDI 0 0 81 336 1735 4502 11367 10023
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3983 2344 1833 87 20 0 0
OW 0 47 105 1193 207 4 0 0
VODI 0 8 66 773 989 25 7 0
ODI 0 6 34 376 1968 606 27 0
CDI 9 0 72 423 1989 1405 273 0
VCDI 24 0 4 115 2941 3374 9937 10592
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 4726 2192 1855 99 5 0 0
OW 3 145 163 1144 125 0 1 0
VODI 0 47 79 1473 763 19 8 0
ODI 0 4 54 420 1558 88 24 0
CDI 0 3 82 450 1837 1770 553 13
VCDI 0 24 8 70 2648 4339 10129 8924
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 4752 2182 3785 784 8 3 0
OW 0 69 71 284 209 9 8 0
VODI 0 38 61 363 488 56 8 0
ODI 0 22 68 276 815 135 36 0
CDI 0 44 110 505 1629 1332 1169 72
VCDI 0 24 86 199 3105 4681 9491 8865

Date: 2014-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 5347 2371 1652 73 5 0 0
OW 0 206 183 1181 71 2 0 0
VODI 0 67 108 1855 511 35 8 0
ODI 0 23 58 435 1077 203 38 0
CDI 0 8 87 373 1394 1869 644 16
VCDI 0 0 73 148 1339 5914 7542 10949
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 5388 2452 4132 453 6 4 0
OW 0 65 47 268 173 31 3 0
VODI 0 60 55 246 433 93 18 0
ODI 0 40 81 313 496 146 57 2
CDI 0 60 96 443 1335 2065 685 156
VCDI 0 38 149 242 1575 5687 7465 10807

Date: 2014-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38 6882 2607 1491 75 2 0 0
OW 0 43 247 1186 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 135 1247 811 5 5 0
ODI 0 7 98 413 1129 110 13 0
CDI 0 0 13 158 1600 4731 188 2
VCDI 0 0 10 15 543 3177 7798 11004
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38 6605 2543 3134 790 5 8 0
OW 0 98 65 201 139 23 29 0
VODI 0 74 81 264 218 63 21 0
ODI 0 54 121 218 360 224 73 0
CDI 0 83 130 497 1521 1834 695 99
VCDI 0 25 170 196 1206 5876 7178 10907

Date: 2014-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71 7363 2750 2326 132 10 0 0
OW 2 197 212 952 182 0 0 0
VODI 7 91 140 687 351 4 5 0
ODI 3 7 77 400 991 73 13 0
CDI 12 2 0 288 2268 3847 87 3
VCDI 1 6 0 35 982 4556 5965 10768
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2014-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9 8265 2637 2434 409 0 0 0
OW 1 116 247 729 134 2 0 0
VODI 0 37 133 491 333 21 0 0
ODI 0 12 57 371 1036 69 1 0
CDI 0 5 8 375 3385 2435 185 5
VCDI 0 7 0 19 595 4612 6265 10426
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh ti. 30. mai 00:22:22 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy