Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-06-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69542 17747 2702 2840 319 1 0 0
OW 21 5 26 1135 283 11 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 560 1205 52 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 846 297 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 122 699 1980 801 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 2682 5060 71
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69664 18298 2932 2712 135 1 0 0
OW 20 4 47 1208 263 16 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 642 863 36 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 120 886 153 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 97 856 2723 592 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1584 5102 128
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70172 17891 3401 2580 108 0 0 0
OW 17 3 22 1212 131 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 867 822 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 1402 255 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 104 614 2433 670 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1712 4045 591
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71035 18022 2937 2573 81 1 0 0
OW 18 0 38 1151 225 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 522 950 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 921 351 125 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 239 1632 1613 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 961 4606 952
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71035 18022 2912 2771 125 0 0 0
OW 18 0 63 967 255 14 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 509 987 62 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 790 331 109 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 259 1697 1801 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 900 4433 952

Date: 2014-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71392 18276 2750 2591 99 0 0 0
OW 16 4 117 1192 189 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 406 926 103 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 496 379 98 0
CDI 0 0 0 91 384 2684 1104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 930 3753 1088
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71392 18274 2759 2867 145 0 0 0
OW 16 6 107 882 228 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 438 956 114 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 390 361 72 0
CDI 0 0 0 91 375 2744 1209 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 873 3674 1088

Date: 2014-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73144 17375 2693 2120 21 0 0 0
OW 12 1 148 910 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 758 348 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 52 1342 169 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 122 620 2539 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 416 4430 1707
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73144 17370 2742 2678 71 0 0 0
OW 12 6 95 755 299 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 339 785 157 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 470 140 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 147 746 2506 1323 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 323 3205 1707

Date: 2014-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71437 19481 3008 2001 25 0 0 0
OW 11 0 133 727 70 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 530 596 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 1076 211 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 111 527 1406 790 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 932 3989 1973
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71437 19479 2955 2476 164 1 0 0
OW 11 2 175 485 438 12 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 287 695 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 426 166 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 129 571 1895 2090 44
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 475 2680 1929

Date: 2014-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73907 17637 3178 1611 29 0 0 0
OW 9 2 173 582 104 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 545 621 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 117 1057 46 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 144 497 825 1373 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 255 5372 992
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73907 17564 3233 2088 293 1 0 0
OW 9 69 89 452 363 8 0 0
VODI 0 6 32 205 598 44 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 450 125 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 190 604 761 2812 266
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 207 3930 726


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