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American sector
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Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-06-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1230 687 422 33 27 5 0
OW 0 49 170 384 94 22 17 0
VODI 0 24 67 339 337 48 27 0
ODI 0 11 30 135 953 199 64 0
CDI 0 6 32 198 1550 7244 1719 0
VCDI 0 0 0 58 255 3274 9515 2857
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1270 650 387 28 33 8 0
OW 0 121 157 361 99 29 13 0
VODI 0 49 106 367 339 61 49 0
ODI 0 25 46 262 1043 272 134 0
CDI 0 15 65 268 1451 6270 3797 0
VCDI 0 0 0 110 717 4508 7475 1497
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1444 745 359 8 3 1 0
OW 0 17 152 330 83 16 8 0
VODI 0 6 75 359 573 28 36 0
ODI 0 3 37 242 1335 203 76 0
CDI 0 0 10 243 1469 5615 2002 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 238 2991 12889 470
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1512 749 333 11 3 0 0
OW 0 52 175 363 58 20 0 0
VODI 0 14 110 675 398 72 24 0
ODI 0 8 32 366 1025 482 48 0
CDI 0 1 33 343 2382 6307 1690 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 403 4697 8822 862
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1516 778 392 14 1 0 0
OW 0 48 149 337 79 22 1 0
VODI 0 14 102 636 406 112 26 0
ODI 0 7 31 359 968 444 42 0
CDI 0 2 39 353 2449 6292 1862 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 361 4710 8653 862

Date: 2014-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1508 712 298 48 1 0 0
OW 0 118 146 326 94 17 3 0
VODI 0 25 185 692 503 54 47 0
ODI 0 10 97 382 1118 318 78 0
CDI 0 7 62 556 2745 6157 2742 192
VCDI 0 6 8 31 751 3327 6696 2022
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1498 727 375 55 0 0 0
OW 0 127 123 291 125 12 1 0
VODI 0 24 190 685 521 101 59 0
ODI 0 8 88 324 1059 311 79 0
CDI 0 11 77 582 2840 6497 2931 262
VCDI 0 6 5 28 659 2953 6496 1952

Date: 2014-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1745 769 263 47 9 0 0
OW 0 82 291 471 45 8 0 0
VODI 0 2 66 1224 505 26 4 0
ODI 0 0 11 400 2045 142 24 0
CDI 0 4 4 131 2879 7141 443 0
VCDI 0 3 1 1 3 1821 8278 3194
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1583 718 396 75 8 0 0
OW 0 157 99 419 128 27 5 0
VODI 0 69 147 657 558 59 37 0
ODI 0 11 94 408 1259 282 82 0
CDI 0 16 84 597 3011 6229 3689 282
VCDI 0 0 0 13 493 2542 4936 2912

Date: 2014-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1735 913 430 52 28 0 0
OW 0 20 163 814 148 11 0 0
VODI 0 7 73 795 658 94 4 0
ODI 0 0 37 453 1503 496 56 0
CDI 0 8 3 210 2887 5118 3037 0
VCDI 0 0 1 0 150 1495 6010 4673
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1411 731 494 97 51 0 0
OW 0 169 69 485 132 46 13 0
VODI 0 110 147 568 593 136 74 0
ODI 0 49 108 442 1182 566 180 0
CDI 0 31 134 713 2722 4265 5432 1429
VCDI 0 0 1 0 672 2178 3408 3244

Date: 2014-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1934 885 485 53 14 22 0
OW 0 66 259 677 162 1 0 0
VODI 0 32 179 685 811 94 0 0
ODI 0 25 82 566 1410 390 8 0
CDI 0 2 41 568 4214 3744 2720 0
VCDI 0 1 0 3 333 3072 5937 2607
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1509 665 449 141 48 22 0
OW 0 181 153 406 157 55 5 0
VODI 0 161 183 587 737 207 31 0
ODI 0 134 165 613 1273 495 39 0
CDI 0 74 280 929 4110 4078 4844 1506
VCDI 0 1 0 0 565 2432 3746 1101


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