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Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-06-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 690 594 375 110 37 0 0
OW 0 130 142 299 139 36 25 0
VODI 0 122 101 332 269 85 52 0
ODI 0 26 84 135 509 241 110 0
CDI 0 13 54 205 1291 3025 1762 10
VCDI 0 0 1 85 580 3879 13501 3033
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 709 550 380 109 67 0 0
OW 0 152 164 283 110 82 11 0
VODI 0 164 71 349 204 166 68 0
ODI 0 47 83 133 505 256 171 4
CDI 0 25 70 141 1183 2377 3402 13
VCDI 0 0 4 234 618 3870 10177 5130
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1155 711 397 54 40 4 0
OW 0 34 168 346 82 18 7 0
VODI 0 17 54 416 268 41 14 0
ODI 0 8 29 209 820 138 33 4
CDI 0 22 31 413 1430 5054 904 26
VCDI 0 0 0 64 271 2130 13133 3537
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1225 689 418 51 5 0 0
OW 0 36 170 374 90 20 2 0
VODI 0 27 47 356 336 54 11 0
ODI 0 10 29 104 895 227 88 0
CDI 0 1 35 172 1155 6310 1565 0
VCDI 0 0 0 72 231 4261 11047 1969
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1227 711 456 67 9 0 0
OW 0 34 148 352 76 21 2 0
VODI 0 23 44 331 338 47 9 0
ODI 0 13 28 102 816 289 82 0
CDI 0 2 39 190 1230 6414 1601 0
VCDI 0 0 0 65 231 4097 11019 1969

Date: 2014-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1078 841 434 28 26 6 0
OW 0 51 190 370 111 17 15 0
VODI 0 19 90 383 326 53 23 0
ODI 0 6 26 210 1058 231 58 0
CDI 0 6 38 336 1538 7010 2186 0
VCDI 0 0 0 65 370 3621 8888 2374
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1089 893 533 45 34 13 0
OW 0 40 138 316 107 16 15 0
VODI 0 16 86 334 340 47 22 0
ODI 0 13 25 194 1006 282 58 0
CDI 0 2 43 361 1570 7272 2212 0
VCDI 0 0 0 60 363 3307 8856 2374

Date: 2014-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1333 839 310 17 6 0 0
OW 0 21 208 357 50 19 3 0
VODI 0 7 26 502 423 27 24 0
ODI 0 3 34 171 1574 155 74 0
CDI 0 0 0 174 1487 6252 917 0
VCDI 0 0 5 7 110 2802 13764 381
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1248 764 454 68 36 12 0
OW 0 57 155 263 113 25 27 0
VODI 0 29 103 312 361 76 106 0
ODI 0 21 35 189 1048 299 355 0
CDI 0 9 50 230 1661 5772 5505 0
VCDI 0 0 5 73 410 3053 8777 381

Date: 2014-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1380 739 432 9 11 0 0
OW 0 24 173 364 53 17 8 0
VODI 0 10 94 468 499 73 18 0
ODI 0 7 29 381 1084 359 50 0
CDI 0 0 21 323 2080 5030 2466 22
VCDI 0 0 0 19 496 4889 10065 389
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1143 647 549 63 38 14 0
OW 0 178 123 236 99 23 23 0
VODI 0 59 170 356 404 145 27 0
ODI 0 24 69 477 1013 479 148 0
CDI 0 17 47 332 2178 5995 6251 41
VCDI 0 0 0 37 464 3699 6144 370

Date: 2014-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1402 718 409 26 1 0 0
OW 0 122 119 339 91 23 0 0
VODI 0 35 127 599 530 92 39 0
ODI 0 27 75 353 1011 402 118 0
CDI 0 35 55 466 2601 6224 2336 0
VCDI 0 11 0 40 236 4253 7997 1170
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1192 662 600 156 55 15 0
OW 0 213 121 159 226 46 19 0
VODI 0 141 157 397 510 201 27 0
ODI 0 26 108 524 1028 656 69 0
CDI 0 41 44 481 2326 6907 5091 127
VCDI 0 19 2 45 249 3130 5269 1043


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