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Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-06-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 216 273 387 63 12 1 0
OW 0 41 63 229 129 35 23 0
VODI 0 90 142 272 235 71 68 0
ODI 0 68 99 239 333 210 127 16
CDI 0 1 83 216 728 1869 1429 15
VCDI 0 0 0 78 931 4526 14625 4139
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 289 367 345 83 8 3 0
OW 0 64 77 228 137 22 26 0
VODI 0 119 132 287 277 66 73 6
ODI 0 100 122 208 361 253 127 12
CDI 0 29 104 158 716 2094 1064 20
VCDI 0 0 16 169 991 9408 11873 1648
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 522 509 400 72 17 0 0
OW 0 126 162 300 125 33 5 0
VODI 0 16 123 397 267 49 32 0
ODI 0 6 32 155 520 188 65 0
CDI 0 0 21 177 1358 3461 1245 9
VCDI 0 0 0 65 347 5842 13739 1697
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 607 632 380 114 22 0 0
OW 0 110 127 289 136 30 17 0
VODI 0 61 125 354 256 79 44 0
ODI 0 13 65 150 499 222 98 0
CDI 0 5 43 208 1432 3237 1348 9
VCDI 0 0 0 42 473 4190 13862 2803
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 572 652 413 125 19 0 0
OW 0 121 108 287 106 36 11 0
VODI 0 83 112 344 284 92 49 0
ODI 0 15 74 119 520 241 85 0
CDI 0 5 46 213 1373 3139 1442 8
VCDI 0 0 0 47 502 4253 13782 2804

Date: 2014-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 681 600 395 106 60 5 0
OW 0 151 141 288 137 47 26 0
VODI 0 159 78 338 213 151 53 0
ODI 0 39 91 130 491 247 151 5
CDI 0 20 59 177 1134 2866 2512 17
VCDI 0 0 2 189 611 3955 11927 3830
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 672 654 450 108 62 4 0
OW 0 130 95 266 111 42 28 0
VODI 0 180 65 323 268 167 65 0
ODI 0 47 95 109 498 295 144 8
CDI 0 21 60 171 1045 2807 2560 14
VCDI 0 0 2 198 662 3953 11873 3830

Date: 2014-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1067 593 360 52 39 0 0
OW 0 126 233 294 85 23 0 0
VODI 0 13 66 462 309 43 5 0
ODI 0 7 37 143 846 148 23 0
CDI 0 23 21 245 1232 5064 655 0
VCDI 0 2 0 79 266 2013 13955 3553
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 741 588 420 114 58 3 0
OW 0 173 102 236 102 69 14 0
VODI 0 194 80 326 292 156 83 0
ODI 0 72 96 117 576 262 181 0
CDI 0 33 79 199 1101 2358 3630 71
VCDI 0 25 5 285 605 4427 10727 3482

Date: 2014-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1226 645 379 70 39 8 0
OW 0 73 147 279 126 31 7 0
VODI 0 25 87 303 291 87 24 0
ODI 0 10 34 126 794 203 107 0
CDI 0 5 51 218 1414 4759 1909 0
VCDI 0 0 0 100 327 3960 13731 487
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 788 574 360 137 72 16 0
OW 0 193 97 237 101 59 48 0
VODI 0 210 96 231 310 121 154 0
ODI 0 74 85 159 504 427 227 0
CDI 0 71 99 169 1279 2752 4753 16
VCDI 0 3 13 249 691 5648 10588 471

Date: 2014-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1230 687 422 33 27 5 0
OW 0 49 170 384 94 22 17 0
VODI 0 24 67 339 337 48 27 0
ODI 0 11 30 135 953 199 64 0
CDI 0 6 32 198 1550 7244 1719 0
VCDI 0 0 0 58 255 3274 9515 2857
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 781 522 442 71 39 18 0
OW 0 179 152 258 148 53 26 0
VODI 0 183 149 291 370 178 93 0
ODI 0 80 51 184 644 408 199 0
CDI 0 97 109 161 1355 3439 3812 3
VCDI 0 0 3 200 634 6697 7199 2854


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