Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-06-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 442 210 11 0 0 0
OW 0 0 157 172 14 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 89 258 63 17 3 0
ODI 0 2 33 369 355 48 8 0
CDI 0 7 12 368 2034 3184 829 12
VCDI 0 20 57 280 701 2300 16628 17037
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 371 325 146 9 0 0 0
OW 0 45 143 142 11 4 0 0
VODI 0 2 125 302 93 13 0 0
ODI 0 1 58 548 450 122 8 0
CDI 0 1 19 1104 4076 1540 206 6
VCDI 0 0 83 529 2228 1956 13120 18080
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 493 514 297 3 0 0 0
OW 0 14 88 456 90 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 747 374 21 7 0
ODI 0 1 14 634 938 212 10 0
CDI 0 2 40 700 1962 3401 999 0
VCDI 0 0 36 273 768 3184 12554 17020
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 563 568 399 86 60 0 0
OW 0 20 104 391 164 92 1 0
VODI 0 0 25 552 449 158 54 0
ODI 0 0 17 503 810 378 118 0
CDI 0 0 76 825 1300 2758 2233 0
VCDI 0 0 16 321 582 2572 11414 18257
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 568 557 451 113 71 0 0
OW 0 15 118 335 139 82 13 0
VODI 0 0 24 535 476 223 51 0
ODI 0 0 15 503 772 330 122 0
CDI 0 0 66 847 1261 2665 2121 0
VCDI 0 0 26 320 630 2647 11513 18257

Date: 2014-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 613 578 414 217 42 0 0
OW 0 41 91 375 227 75 0 0
VODI 0 4 33 554 501 171 7 0
ODI 0 0 38 581 916 456 59 0
CDI 0 0 57 1165 2475 3345 448 2
VCDI 0 0 45 222 605 1880 9352 20277
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 624 574 493 228 64 0 0
OW 0 33 95 288 239 77 0 0
VODI 0 1 38 515 526 184 5 0
ODI 0 0 30 563 846 400 65 0
CDI 0 0 45 1232 2302 3349 464 4
VCDI 0 0 60 220 800 1895 9332 20275

Date: 2014-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 842 499 530 164 3 0 0
OW 0 38 122 588 112 34 1 0
VODI 0 0 47 968 597 46 1 0
ODI 0 0 55 836 1742 186 5 0
CDI 0 0 20 533 2032 3650 134 0
VCDI 0 0 0 83 525 1142 9879 20452
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 815 478 608 263 103 0 0
OW 0 42 59 348 288 70 2 0
VODI 0 20 49 636 709 97 2 0
ODI 0 3 50 491 849 536 242 0
CDI 0 0 75 1023 1985 2671 771 0
VCDI 0 0 32 432 1078 1584 9003 20452

Date: 2014-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 913 639 714 157 87 0 0
OW 0 46 212 705 196 85 0 0
VODI 0 59 202 663 702 222 0 0
ODI 0 84 128 666 703 757 122 0
CDI 0 12 36 606 2157 2409 336 0
VCDI 0 0 0 161 515 2102 12167 17303
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 835 465 670 276 242 0 0
OW 0 74 99 424 286 117 0 0
VODI 0 54 181 526 488 338 2 0
ODI 0 84 193 489 716 721 251 0
CDI 0 67 269 970 1729 1877 713 0
VCDI 0 0 10 436 935 2367 11659 17303

Date: 2014-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1020 857 989 219 57 1 0
OW 0 110 271 730 366 54 0 0
VODI 0 84 220 591 649 143 0 0
ODI 0 16 198 571 1150 609 12 0
CDI 0 0 76 572 2718 1287 434 7
VCDI 0 4 28 206 771 2966 19390 8490
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 900 621 683 389 154 0 0
OW 0 96 137 429 258 82 10 0
VODI 0 102 166 684 521 259 48 0
ODI 0 80 241 464 852 501 318 0
CDI 0 52 394 853 2396 1311 587 16
VCDI 0 4 91 546 1457 2809 18874 8481


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh ma. 29. mai 21:35:46 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy