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Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-05-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 141 186 141 7 0 0 0
OW 0 16 88 232 58 26 8 0
VODI 0 7 75 214 250 112 26 0
ODI 0 0 25 155 401 195 67 0
CDI 0 0 0 286 660 1586 468 0
VCDI 0 0 0 310 1230 5771 10596 8745
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 107 225 149 9 0 0 0
OW 0 49 73 205 73 2 0 0
VODI 0 29 45 205 311 46 76 0
ODI 0 10 52 145 355 110 169 2
CDI 0 0 70 355 924 1522 843 10
VCDI 0 0 0 256 1312 6007 10209 8127
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 125 248 319 8 0 0 0
OW 0 48 79 217 88 15 5 0
VODI 0 48 101 280 366 43 21 10
ODI 0 2 36 219 553 168 71 34
CDI 0 0 3 199 905 2855 923 58
VCDI 0 0 0 92 640 3481 10862 8960
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 181 241 388 38 2 0 0
OW 0 32 67 221 133 28 5 6
VODI 0 80 128 274 258 62 37 33
ODI 0 32 75 231 418 185 117 12
CDI 0 0 41 228 787 2127 1348 35
VCDI 0 0 0 29 863 3429 15205 4706
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 194 260 460 69 11 2 0
OW 0 32 73 203 137 20 5 2
VODI 0 72 97 232 242 83 34 34
ODI 0 27 85 207 403 190 107 14
CDI 0 0 37 232 767 2219 1343 30
VCDI 0 0 0 37 879 3310 15221 4712

Date: 2014-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 226 317 401 83 9 2 0
OW 0 57 67 237 130 31 24 0
VODI 0 112 141 276 236 68 61 5
ODI 0 92 113 211 364 211 132 11
CDI 0 6 115 185 686 1933 1404 19
VCDI 0 0 0 151 1002 6808 14001 2155
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 251 341 480 119 10 3 0
OW 0 56 79 220 130 27 24 0
VODI 0 102 111 229 233 88 57 5
ODI 0 75 106 198 335 250 121 11
CDI 0 9 116 185 693 2122 1454 15
VCDI 0 0 0 149 991 6563 13965 2159

Date: 2014-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 368 417 317 56 3 2 0
OW 0 255 243 313 103 13 6 0
VODI 0 23 132 419 275 32 30 0
ODI 0 2 44 149 626 167 64 0
CDI 0 0 4 160 1173 3758 672 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 276 6655 13828 1462
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 316 395 454 125 9 7 0
OW 0 56 86 169 145 27 23 0
VODI 0 137 123 266 276 135 78 0
ODI 0 76 130 180 382 313 180 0
CDI 0 57 78 163 803 2275 1470 0
VCDI 0 6 28 161 778 7869 12844 1462

Date: 2014-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 572 597 393 82 12 2 0
OW 0 112 151 284 123 25 7 0
VODI 0 17 139 362 293 45 39 0
ODI 0 5 38 162 504 203 66 2
CDI 0 0 31 181 1431 3159 1486 8
VCDI 0 0 0 64 353 4947 14431 1756
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 325 460 440 213 54 8 0
OW 0 71 127 170 130 78 35 0
VODI 0 137 125 337 254 135 121 0
ODI 0 100 103 157 355 408 315 2
CDI 0 73 127 155 1053 2016 1647 15
VCDI 0 0 14 187 781 5700 13905 1749

Date: 2014-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 690 594 375 110 37 0 0
OW 0 130 142 299 139 36 25 0
VODI 0 122 101 332 269 85 52 0
ODI 0 26 84 135 509 241 110 0
CDI 0 13 54 205 1291 3025 1762 10
VCDI 0 0 1 85 580 3879 13501 3033
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 362 442 386 252 139 15 0
OW 0 109 152 195 87 71 60 0
VODI 0 178 157 327 235 138 140 0
ODI 0 152 69 167 376 567 254 0
CDI 0 176 111 159 1138 2120 1580 13
VCDI 0 4 45 197 810 4268 13401 3030


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