Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-05-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60962 16999 3017 5154 358 106 6 0
OW 60 30 282 714 246 42 11 0
VODI 0 4 66 621 469 124 30 0
ODI 0 4 16 412 470 220 115 0
CDI 0 0 29 422 876 1714 562 0
VCDI 0 0 2 285 566 4124 6153 3829
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59988 18150 3763 4348 617 101 11 0
OW 60 54 256 532 351 51 26 0
VODI 0 0 83 512 378 153 78 0
ODI 0 0 4 356 405 238 121 0
CDI 0 0 7 251 774 1706 352 0
VCDI 0 0 0 190 492 4296 5928 4468
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64823 18065 2603 1321 355 69 8 0
OW 57 10 166 554 276 35 2 0
VODI 0 2 44 432 610 55 26 0
ODI 0 2 17 242 603 231 42 0
CDI 0 0 21 189 1184 2558 402 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 143 2888 5387 5671
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63910 18605 2555 1702 419 71 5 0
OW 58 9 125 465 422 43 9 0
VODI 0 0 73 313 574 116 23 0
ODI 0 5 37 303 521 379 93 0
CDI 0 0 44 187 1463 2473 478 0
VCDI 0 0 5 97 271 2951 5067 5229
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63911 18604 2608 1806 439 80 8 0
OW 57 10 72 401 444 33 8 0
VODI 0 3 89 309 583 135 21 0
ODI 0 2 33 296 505 409 94 0
CDI 0 0 36 181 1505 2602 507 0
VCDI 0 0 1 74 194 2774 5037 5229

Date: 2014-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64344 18279 2405 1683 530 89 3 0
OW 56 42 110 463 421 38 8 0
VODI 0 0 45 348 647 197 31 0
ODI 0 12 44 258 641 628 100 0
CDI 0 6 52 208 1490 2513 783 0
VCDI 0 0 14 94 304 2843 4057 5314
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64344 18298 2425 1778 563 93 3 0
OW 56 22 89 420 408 42 7 0
VODI 0 1 61 329 694 213 29 0
ODI 0 18 50 267 651 579 95 0
CDI 0 0 43 189 1510 2617 748 0
VCDI 0 0 2 71 207 2764 4100 5314

Date: 2014-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63592 18714 2694 1838 403 56 1 0
OW 53 18 163 654 320 20 3 0
VODI 0 3 40 578 862 32 13 0
ODI 0 0 31 299 1784 291 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 1205 3969 221 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 905 4974 5252
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63591 18697 2617 2053 584 73 6 0
OW 54 15 94 471 497 37 15 0
VODI 0 0 78 347 909 223 35 0
ODI 0 23 85 217 869 421 60 0
CDI 0 0 53 238 1507 2836 505 0
VCDI 0 0 1 74 272 1683 4608 5252

Date: 2014-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64277 18445 2479 2076 366 7 1 0
OW 53 46 125 662 402 17 7 0
VODI 0 8 68 397 968 148 22 0
ODI 0 0 37 369 1394 648 73 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 1266 3585 602 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 730 4889 4816
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64276 18422 2365 2095 544 44 20 0
OW 54 27 98 445 505 103 19 0
VODI 0 31 100 358 741 391 73 0
ODI 0 19 122 300 776 521 96 0
CDI 0 0 24 313 1594 2555 562 0
VCDI 0 0 0 46 300 1521 4824 4816

Date: 2014-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64280 18313 2819 2119 290 2 5 0
OW 52 26 84 656 421 57 8 0
VODI 0 32 169 477 783 329 71 0
ODI 0 12 70 404 1284 555 132 0
CDI 0 0 14 129 1596 2945 493 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 99 1071 4117 5186
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64279 18296 2662 2240 526 77 48 0
OW 53 23 173 362 443 177 39 0
VODI 0 32 143 404 700 417 109 0
ODI 0 29 115 491 886 340 120 0
CDI 0 3 63 248 1583 2689 683 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 335 1259 3827 5186


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