Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-05-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 26 88 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 88 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 112 52 5 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 179 131 262 2
VCDI 0 0 0 1 260 3212 13668 13886
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 12 18 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 41 51 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 95 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 54 48 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 69 195 266 176 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 386 3297 13949 13303
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 76 50 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 7 91 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 108 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 59 75 36 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 253 511 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 399 3597 12284 14366
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 76 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 40 49 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 91 11 8 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 75 110 106 62 65
CDI 0 0 0 99 196 398 259 81
VCDI 0 0 0 112 716 5850 11673 11892
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 88 49 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 32 46 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 84 19 17 7 1
ODI 0 0 0 72 94 90 61 67
CDI 0 0 0 90 216 446 281 76
VCDI 0 0 0 119 704 5809 11649 11894

Date: 2014-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 86 63 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 52 51 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 153 113 28 31 22
ODI 0 0 0 122 190 82 106 76
CDI 0 0 0 113 387 339 356 92
VCDI 0 0 0 171 1196 7016 10468 10740
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 95 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 22 55 8 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 155 112 34 41 36
ODI 0 0 0 111 171 85 101 69
CDI 0 0 0 105 424 321 355 87
VCDI 0 0 0 175 1177 7024 10464 10738

Date: 2014-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 151 112 57 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 41 266 39 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 287 233 16 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 107 321 77 56 38
CDI 0 0 0 124 497 1065 237 75
VCDI 0 0 0 89 849 5360 12771 9206
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 137 81 44 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 19 94 18 0 1 0
VODI 0 2 45 195 99 21 62 54
ODI 0 0 10 195 202 37 143 79
CDI 0 0 0 166 445 222 451 141
VCDI 0 0 0 236 1175 6240 12411 9045

Date: 2014-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 139 152 130 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 105 274 55 13 5 19
VODI 0 0 35 188 211 20 31 68
ODI 0 0 12 120 318 119 72 60
CDI 0 0 1 168 386 1068 335 91
VCDI 0 0 0 221 886 4702 16045 6030
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 130 100 109 4 0 2 0
OW 0 9 23 135 28 12 18 42
VODI 0 0 86 143 155 32 76 106
ODI 0 1 59 153 226 75 143 80
CDI 0 1 37 227 323 550 649 52
VCDI 0 0 0 334 1121 5253 15600 5988

Date: 2014-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 141 186 141 7 0 0 0
OW 0 16 88 232 58 26 8 0
VODI 0 7 75 214 250 112 26 0
ODI 0 0 25 155 401 195 67 0
CDI 0 0 0 286 660 1586 468 0
VCDI 0 0 0 310 1230 5771 10596 8745
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 134 148 173 8 14 0 0
OW 0 6 47 128 104 74 24 0
VODI 0 4 103 130 274 164 55 0
ODI 0 20 51 203 279 200 132 0
CDI 0 0 25 311 549 779 663 0
VCDI 0 0 0 393 1392 6459 10291 8745


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