Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-05-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60962 16999 3024 5155 394 129 6 0
OW 60 30 308 822 258 68 11 0
VODI 0 4 66 752 508 143 34 0
ODI 0 4 16 578 597 239 151 0
CDI 0 0 29 635 1432 2170 993 2
VCDI 0 0 2 425 1774 11418 36756 40094
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59988 18162 3781 4413 661 105 11 0
OW 60 57 297 609 375 73 26 0
VODI 0 0 83 684 449 212 80 0
ODI 0 0 4 534 573 365 150 0
CDI 0 0 7 674 1454 2382 735 0
VCDI 0 0 0 441 1780 12897 36977 37949
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64823 18111 2722 1465 369 70 8 0
OW 57 11 208 788 291 49 5 0
VODI 0 2 55 737 695 81 36 0
ODI 0 2 24 506 828 315 63 0
CDI 0 0 28 649 2178 3805 772 11
VCDI 0 0 0 187 1156 10193 34766 40982
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63910 18710 2693 1857 430 73 5 0
OW 58 25 200 608 433 59 11 0
VODI 0 0 120 584 643 135 35 0
ODI 0 5 56 612 783 568 166 65
CDI 0 0 53 727 2271 3770 931 81
VCDI 0 0 5 454 1794 12972 32755 38391
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63911 18711 2762 1996 455 83 8 0
OW 57 24 134 526 461 49 11 0
VODI 0 3 138 583 645 166 37 1
ODI 0 2 52 609 731 579 165 67
CDI 0 0 40 708 2351 3936 948 76
VCDI 0 0 1 420 1711 12764 32734 38393

Date: 2014-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64344 18414 2554 1820 539 94 3 0
OW 56 81 194 560 448 51 8 0
VODI 0 17 113 652 785 239 62 22
ODI 0 12 92 610 981 752 206 76
CDI 0 6 69 715 2619 3688 1365 92
VCDI 0 0 14 496 2627 13858 29634 38080
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64344 18445 2611 1940 576 100 3 0
OW 56 49 138 548 439 60 7 0
VODI 0 18 132 609 833 256 70 36
ODI 0 18 104 601 951 722 198 69
CDI 0 0 49 687 2636 3696 1307 87
VCDI 0 0 2 468 2564 13848 29693 38078

Date: 2014-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63592 18944 2893 2019 415 62 1 0
OW 53 55 332 1047 384 33 3 0
VODI 0 3 83 1211 1145 58 17 0
ODI 0 0 47 598 2329 422 75 38
CDI 0 0 6 411 2555 6728 640 76
VCDI 0 0 0 155 1746 9235 34947 34690
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63591 18892 2786 2230 610 89 6 0
OW 54 59 134 621 537 54 16 0
VODI 0 25 183 689 1034 258 97 54
ODI 0 26 165 620 1163 565 242 79
CDI 0 0 92 753 2586 4013 1188 141
VCDI 0 0 1 528 2644 11559 34134 34530

Date: 2014-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64277 18719 2756 2339 377 9 1 0
OW 53 51 341 1137 494 39 12 19
VODI 0 8 138 783 1258 175 53 68
ODI 0 0 58 631 1900 823 148 62
CDI 0 0 6 557 2440 5957 1628 163
VCDI 0 0 0 377 1797 8138 36693 32563
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64276 18586 2576 2300 577 52 22 0
OW 54 76 143 614 574 121 37 42
VODI 0 78 229 672 926 445 149 106
ODI 0 37 245 641 1111 691 258 88
CDI 0 1 106 903 2630 3821 1551 115
VCDI 0 0 0 694 2448 10011 36518 32524

Date: 2014-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64280 18567 3179 2434 327 2 5 0
OW 52 43 283 1080 537 84 16 0
VODI 0 39 293 862 1119 462 98 0
ODI 0 12 107 718 1904 831 251 0
CDI 0 0 16 762 3217 5830 1990 11
VCDI 0 0 0 468 2245 11117 24790 39017
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64279 18452 2908 2508 584 91 48 0
OW 53 61 252 528 602 257 63 0
VODI 0 79 300 722 1007 620 164 0
ODI 0 66 249 902 1263 615 278 0
CDI 0 3 169 988 2984 4420 1986 5
VCDI 0 0 0 676 2909 12323 24611 39023


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ma. 29. mai 19:09:31 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy