Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-05-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 4 45 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 111 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 37 22 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 120 157 92 5
VCDI 0 0 0 2 291 3533 11946 15560
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 54 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 21 88 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 50 8 13 10
CDI 0 0 0 25 92 119 189 101
VCDI 0 0 0 0 395 3406 14930 12517
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 24 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 7 78 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 60 42 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 72 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 106 142 143 45
VCDI 0 0 0 0 126 2253 13622 15298
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 13 87 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 98 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 98 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 171 134 73 73
VCDI 0 0 0 1 131 2660 11611 16807
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 11 85 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 94 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 77 86 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 165 134 107 80
VCDI 0 0 0 1 141 2658 11577 16800

Date: 2014-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 7 80 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 59 54 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 79 36 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 84 256 218 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 247 1347 3923 14323 11107
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 6 53 4 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 42 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 64 60 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 59 76 27 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 82 270 221 131 0
VCDI 0 0 0 247 1322 3929 14334 11107

Date: 2014-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 23 48 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 13 110 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 124 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 108 34 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 248 483 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 361 3258 12759 14278
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 13 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 27 37 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 21 75 19 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 45 32 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 109 214 269 104 12
VCDI 0 0 0 42 470 3470 12739 14266

Date: 2014-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 40 73 61 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 13 66 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 109 19 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 88 69 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 197 541 188 72
VCDI 0 0 0 14 365 4355 13094 12626
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 26 18 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 23 27 0 1 0 0
VODI 0 1 28 64 23 20 2 0
ODI 0 0 17 49 54 60 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 90 205 456 187 42
VCDI 0 0 0 79 387 4430 13099 12656

Date: 2014-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 86 54 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 69 20 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 18 67 111 22 22 16
ODI 0 0 2 98 189 84 88 74
CDI 0 0 0 90 338 374 293 88
VCDI 0 0 0 137 1120 7312 10815 10484
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 15 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 26 35 5 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 64 20 51 12 11 20
ODI 0 0 28 60 116 45 82 67
CDI 0 0 1 137 352 324 254 69
VCDI 0 0 0 192 1239 7411 10871 10506


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