Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-05-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61969 17457 2579 2085 638 265 20 0
OW 51 36 306 654 525 238 34 0
VODI 0 14 52 354 672 429 59 0
ODI 0 7 19 135 327 595 116 0
CDI 0 0 13 200 629 1120 255 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 376 3936 8013 4897
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61733 17772 2631 2177 919 212 46 0
OW 51 51 284 492 523 228 53 0
VODI 0 25 112 347 373 426 98 0
ODI 0 17 34 147 302 474 96 0
CDI 0 5 38 198 410 1045 138 0
VCDI 0 0 0 46 461 4082 7954 5100
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62309 17707 2377 1850 661 69 12 0
OW 51 59 350 658 443 112 45 0
VODI 0 26 64 501 367 242 52 0
ODI 0 1 50 184 443 450 62 0
CDI 0 0 8 193 575 1655 247 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 284 3733 7512 5747
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62834 17452 2538 1724 575 64 11 0
OW 50 54 279 611 419 86 26 0
VODI 0 17 99 556 437 237 40 0
ODI 0 0 34 218 441 432 61 0
CDI 0 0 6 172 623 2208 336 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 299 3464 7141 5521
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62834 17466 2618 1805 590 59 10 0
OW 50 40 203 565 372 72 23 0
VODI 0 17 90 512 514 267 43 0
ODI 0 0 34 233 373 432 50 0
CDI 0 0 11 170 633 2305 391 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 312 3356 7098 5521

Date: 2014-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62868 17582 2501 1795 638 125 9 0
OW 50 79 311 496 388 134 21 0
VODI 0 26 108 496 416 288 46 0
ODI 0 9 33 297 342 452 76 0
CDI 0 0 26 204 985 1503 186 0
VCDI 0 0 1 54 340 3609 7221 5385
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62868 17623 2554 1808 624 127 11 0
OW 50 42 294 474 357 110 20 0
VODI 0 22 73 480 439 307 42 0
ODI 0 9 27 324 310 434 64 0
CDI 0 0 32 205 955 1347 203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 51 424 3786 7219 5385

Date: 2014-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63281 17723 2725 1491 448 145 5 0
OW 49 41 249 707 276 60 12 0
VODI 0 3 45 642 567 127 20 0
ODI 0 0 14 232 939 304 23 0
CDI 0 0 4 73 1002 2502 277 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 115 3050 6448 5489
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63280 17667 2538 1680 623 187 22 0
OW 50 61 307 438 404 121 24 0
VODI 0 23 121 393 487 232 38 0
ODI 0 15 24 318 328 336 88 0
CDI 0 1 37 248 982 711 239 0
VCDI 0 0 10 80 523 4601 6374 5489

Date: 2014-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63814 17851 2639 1378 540 150 19 0
OW 61 28 255 649 258 97 3 0
VODI 0 6 49 524 610 186 10 0
ODI 0 0 7 214 653 377 47 0
CDI 0 0 5 104 898 1843 342 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 237 4809 5940 4480
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63814 17704 2434 1444 707 276 25 0
OW 61 115 286 396 394 135 16 0
VODI 0 40 121 391 444 312 47 0
ODI 0 17 48 230 283 339 78 0
CDI 0 9 47 249 593 752 252 0
VCDI 0 0 19 176 775 5648 5943 4480

Date: 2014-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60962 16999 3017 5154 358 106 6 0
OW 60 30 282 714 246 42 11 0
VODI 0 4 66 621 469 124 30 0
ODI 0 4 16 412 470 220 115 0
CDI 0 0 29 422 876 1714 562 0
VCDI 0 0 2 285 566 4124 6153 3829
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60962 16932 2806 5263 554 155 41 0
OW 60 48 294 605 287 93 27 0
VODI 0 30 155 480 286 145 94 0
ODI 0 16 81 333 329 199 84 0
CDI 0 8 41 729 780 1006 93 0
VCDI 0 3 35 198 749 4732 6538 3829


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