Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-05-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 19 36 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 51 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 101 27 21 6 13
ODI 0 0 0 47 89 64 22 19
CDI 0 0 0 31 243 382 321 45
VCDI 0 0 0 10 374 2467 13028 14661
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 6 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 48 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 91 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 57 53 17 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 124 214 163 43
VCDI 0 0 0 0 203 2264 13124 15584
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 4 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 6 74 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 81 33 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 62 38 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 113 360 127 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 2131 13585 15329
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 51 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 89 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 46 42 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 143 204 120 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 195 2946 12776 15345
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 45 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 77 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 41 36 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 145 211 121 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 203 2945 12779 15344

Date: 2014-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 57 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 101 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 37 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 95 170 128 49
VCDI 0 0 0 2 239 3645 12922 14502
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 4 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 12 55 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 85 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 28 26 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 95 167 120 63
VCDI 0 0 0 2 247 3641 12924 14488

Date: 2014-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 15 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 10 84 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 80 35 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 76 21 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 141 223 224 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 207 2580 14180 14150
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 6 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 12 28 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 95 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 38 8 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 91 64 233 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 326 2753 14141 14134

Date: 2014-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 16 67 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 73 33 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 93 35 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 115 166 70 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 95 2132 11923 17204
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 6 42 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 78 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 29 55 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 136 89 58 31
VCDI 0 0 0 5 131 2212 11935 17182

Date: 2014-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 26 88 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 88 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 112 52 5 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 179 131 262 2
VCDI 0 0 0 1 260 3212 13668 13886
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 19 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 12 41 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 107 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 86 45 12 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 82 140 108 191 1
VCDI 0 0 0 24 324 3228 13737 13887


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