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Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-04-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59987 18688 2873 1953 746 64 0 0
OW 51 71 370 801 375 112 3 0
VODI 0 27 137 712 747 255 9 0
ODI 0 17 46 303 766 453 22 0
CDI 0 7 40 194 665 704 50 0
VCDI 0 0 35 184 1707 5517 6232 4177
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61351 17483 2399 1864 767 152 0 0
OW 51 175 308 858 452 172 5 0
VODI 0 41 197 677 681 383 15 0
ODI 0 24 62 233 576 509 47 0
CDI 0 22 36 148 551 1014 91 0
VCDI 0 0 36 155 1494 4592 7925 3554
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60347 18485 3181 1907 569 70 0 0
OW 51 26 182 838 634 94 0 0
VODI 0 19 55 426 964 300 0 0
ODI 0 5 35 148 539 690 19 0
CDI 0 0 19 259 757 1578 206 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 381 4852 7455 4009
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62034 17375 2609 2038 571 213 2 0
OW 51 24 250 739 539 220 29 0
VODI 0 14 42 355 831 387 43 0
ODI 0 4 19 150 357 598 105 0
CDI 0 0 11 218 746 1233 224 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 398 4045 7795 4829
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62034 17372 2673 2226 666 227 4 0
OW 51 27 184 564 567 222 22 0
VODI 0 14 43 344 699 426 48 0
ODI 0 4 22 153 378 568 104 0
CDI 0 0 9 213 745 1326 237 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 387 3927 7783 4829

Date: 2014-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61537 18028 2542 2151 726 257 46 0
OW 51 45 343 479 576 205 54 0
VODI 0 17 114 329 513 442 85 0
ODI 0 10 21 181 297 473 122 0
CDI 0 1 15 250 503 970 206 0
VCDI 0 0 0 38 438 4132 7834 5069
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61538 18040 2666 2310 927 287 43 0
OW 50 34 230 366 500 227 50 0
VODI 0 18 108 284 387 476 86 0
ODI 0 9 19 186 278 430 137 0
CDI 0 0 12 256 511 912 179 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 450 4147 7852 5069

Date: 2014-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61570 17699 2917 1917 586 131 10 0
OW 51 40 333 815 505 100 26 0
VODI 0 10 47 470 498 206 40 0
ODI 0 0 14 150 565 471 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 579 2372 241 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 127 3773 6936 5809
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61571 17655 2922 2434 1153 248 47 0
OW 50 54 235 306 379 279 60 0
VODI 0 24 105 319 251 451 101 0
ODI 0 15 29 155 234 431 115 0
CDI 0 1 20 175 453 1235 163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 390 4409 6807 5809

Date: 2014-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61703 18230 2576 1851 543 55 9 0
OW 51 58 274 723 425 107 32 0
VODI 0 23 70 470 442 246 43 0
ODI 0 0 51 180 444 497 64 0
CDI 0 0 8 195 545 1878 355 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 273 3784 7463 5405
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61704 18163 2554 2282 987 198 53 0
OW 50 99 201 325 342 236 59 0
VODI 0 38 145 323 282 434 126 0
ODI 0 11 41 196 209 400 110 0
CDI 0 0 38 236 380 1019 279 0
VCDI 0 0 0 84 472 4280 7339 5405

Date: 2014-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62879 17531 2568 1684 584 115 2 0
OW 50 67 320 503 405 120 18 0
VODI 0 17 113 559 383 300 31 0
ODI 0 3 34 239 464 394 45 0
CDI 0 0 20 199 873 1983 371 0
VCDI 0 0 0 51 320 3728 6978 5149
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62879 17438 2586 1974 989 274 49 0
OW 50 105 200 359 320 211 35 0
VODI 0 61 159 405 321 412 76 0
ODI 0 14 71 159 234 308 100 0
CDI 0 0 35 263 634 1230 394 20
VCDI 0 0 4 75 531 4205 6791 5129


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