Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-04-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 61 36 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 41 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 27 28 4 10 0 0
ODI 0 12 22 37 15 59 13 0
CDI 0 0 24 32 87 264 107 50
VCDI 0 0 19 116 506 3355 12735 14365
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 49 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 52 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 41 29 36 15 3 0
ODI 0 0 36 49 133 65 40 67
CDI 0 0 20 44 320 257 170 74
VCDI 0 0 6 70 703 2926 13679 13133
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 12 100 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 54 46 9 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 26 123 98 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 68 179 43 40 26
CDI 0 0 0 60 391 346 236 32
VCDI 0 0 0 27 653 2970 13528 12993
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 41 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 32 39 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 23 96 52 13 19 0
ODI 0 0 1 58 141 41 47 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 271 342 365 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 577 2837 13815 13196
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 54 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 33 38 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 92 43 12 27 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 135 34 47 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 279 355 365 2
VCDI 0 0 0 17 584 2832 13807 13194

Date: 2014-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 13 37 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 50 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 91 19 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 61 57 14 18
CDI 0 0 0 29 168 385 173 33
VCDI 0 0 0 5 280 2325 13050 15208
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 13 51 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 62 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 76 22 17 3 8
ODI 0 0 0 50 60 65 12 20
CDI 0 0 0 17 200 384 224 27
VCDI 0 0 0 6 246 2311 12998 15204

Date: 2014-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 91 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 98 27 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 78 46 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 122 564 140 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 1891 14181 14736
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 2 37 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 51 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 75 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 55 37 32 9 1
CDI 0 0 0 26 104 258 252 19
VCDI 0 0 0 2 100 2223 14061 14716

Date: 2014-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 17 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 4 56 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 67 46 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 37 51 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 129 231 124 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 139 2327 13528 15245
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 35 3 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 20 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 53 19 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 29 43 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 125 216 187 26
VCDI 0 0 0 0 176 2333 13465 15233

Date: 2014-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 4 45 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 111 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 37 22 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 120 157 92 5
VCDI 0 0 0 2 291 3533 11946 15560
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 40 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 57 15 9 2 0
ODI 0 0 3 43 49 27 19 4
CDI 0 0 12 94 90 145 183 55
VCDI 0 0 0 30 303 3531 11835 15506


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