Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-04-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 56 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 22 41 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 17 57 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 41 26 20 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 30 71 173 82 55
VCDI 0 0 0 4 180 1671 10457 19024
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 14 32 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 31 31 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 30 42 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 17 37 14 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 49 27 98 82 13
VCDI 0 0 0 27 116 1244 9788 20356
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 65 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 20 28 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 47 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 39 17 10 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 19 132 95 13
VCDI 0 0 0 8 103 1230 8292 21860
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 8 42 16 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 13 37 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 54 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 25 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 49 92 112 77
VCDI 0 0 0 6 169 1759 9983 19549
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 8 42 24 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 14 36 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 45 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 22 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 38 100 123 83
VCDI 0 0 0 15 183 1755 9972 19543

Date: 2014-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 13 37 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 22 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 31 28 2 0 3 0
ODI 0 0 8 36 7 14 60 67
CDI 0 0 2 41 32 162 219 107
VCDI 0 0 0 47 200 2933 12359 15630
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 13 56 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 18 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 22 2 0 16 17
ODI 0 0 9 26 7 13 66 61
CDI 0 0 1 27 24 150 213 89
VCDI 0 0 0 69 208 2946 12346 15637

Date: 2014-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 22 44 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 4 56 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 47 8 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 38 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 61 131 90 33
VCDI 0 0 0 0 138 1327 10798 19210
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 22 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 37 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 31 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 19 19 19 5
CDI 0 0 0 23 34 91 148 98
VCDI 0 0 0 40 186 1383 10721 19140

Date: 2014-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 28 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 5 39 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 53 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 16 12 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 81 105 162 33
VCDI 0 0 0 0 151 1603 11404 18288
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 29 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 4 31 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 34 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 16 34 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 45 137 149 16
VCDI 0 0 0 41 190 1549 11422 18305

Date: 2014-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 61 36 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 41 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 27 28 4 10 0 0
ODI 0 12 22 37 15 59 13 0
CDI 0 0 24 32 87 264 107 50
VCDI 0 0 19 116 506 3355 12735 14365
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 22 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 10 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 18 10 5 14 0 0
ODI 0 8 11 9 10 102 8 0
CDI 0 9 17 21 39 213 60 51
VCDI 0 50 91 169 558 3359 12787 14364


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