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Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-04-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59410 20287 2330 1044 359 50 6 0
OW 53 180 433 494 240 48 20 0
VODI 0 76 330 674 433 165 28 0
ODI 0 34 98 372 546 442 33 0
CDI 0 24 93 261 681 697 61 0
VCDI 0 0 9 202 899 5195 8001 4792
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59506 19735 2483 1251 498 58 3 0
OW 52 124 453 508 311 107 14 0
VODI 0 55 270 503 552 312 27 0
ODI 0 24 73 310 525 436 80 0
CDI 0 26 83 294 561 1020 240 0
VCDI 0 0 17 230 1189 4612 8253 4305
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61540 17495 2552 1363 459 53 0 0
OW 52 98 343 650 318 88 2 0
VODI 0 31 134 527 592 225 6 0
ODI 0 17 64 233 695 558 70 0
CDI 0 0 18 213 720 1620 357 0
VCDI 0 0 0 102 871 4832 7951 4251
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61839 17408 2125 1432 467 169 0 0
OW 52 109 340 533 307 116 6 0
VODI 0 42 137 519 544 315 30 0
ODI 0 18 34 257 559 609 103 0
CDI 0 0 40 213 680 1780 145 0
VCDI 0 0 4 71 665 4649 8911 3872
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61838 17499 2341 1721 646 277 0 0
OW 53 39 175 358 262 128 9 0
VODI 0 24 93 398 371 232 24 0
ODI 0 15 33 263 441 317 61 0
CDI 0 0 31 213 742 1662 131 0
VCDI 0 0 7 72 760 5022 8970 3872

Date: 2014-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61154 17914 2261 1325 657 72 0 0
OW 52 65 317 578 321 118 1 0
VODI 0 27 167 574 470 344 23 0
ODI 0 5 46 327 572 635 72 0
CDI 0 0 22 234 712 1262 231 0
VCDI 0 0 0 77 473 4188 8522 5282
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61153 17975 2480 1700 914 162 0 0
OW 53 19 190 334 236 170 1 0
VODI 0 14 96 431 303 271 17 0
ODI 0 3 28 311 365 346 52 0
CDI 0 0 15 262 876 1134 222 0
VCDI 0 0 4 77 511 4536 8557 5282

Date: 2014-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61177 18526 2349 976 480 120 0 0
OW 52 74 418 790 289 108 2 0
VODI 0 6 84 640 616 248 8 0
ODI 0 0 18 299 756 639 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 123 606 1109 195 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 375 4076 8374 5514
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61177 18444 2398 1532 863 319 17 0
OW 52 70 203 251 202 160 31 0
VODI 0 66 119 306 294 256 57 0
ODI 0 26 81 299 313 305 58 0
CDI 0 0 62 352 754 707 162 0
VCDI 0 0 6 88 696 4553 8307 5514

Date: 2014-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60888 18586 2371 1325 545 327 15 0
OW 52 71 264 592 410 169 11 0
VODI 0 15 138 438 540 432 47 0
ODI 0 0 48 261 523 824 102 0
CDI 0 0 5 170 469 973 221 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 360 3419 8786 5663
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60888 18461 2289 1624 900 635 61 0
OW 52 109 153 227 213 194 55 0
VODI 0 61 139 270 233 287 76 0
ODI 0 23 125 235 296 374 76 0
CDI 0 18 87 300 668 972 238 0
VCDI 0 0 33 170 537 3682 8676 5663

Date: 2014-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58675 20762 2550 1596 597 127 4 0
OW 52 154 300 471 455 108 4 0
VODI 0 66 188 415 574 388 64 0
ODI 0 16 77 294 470 732 82 0
CDI 0 2 51 201 390 833 114 0
VCDI 0 0 15 184 708 4320 7917 5144
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58675 20685 2544 1744 968 418 61 0
OW 52 134 162 179 220 138 57 0
VODI 0 98 162 288 234 227 81 0
ODI 0 52 129 319 286 401 79 0
CDI 0 31 125 365 586 950 122 0
VCDI 0 0 59 266 900 4374 7785 5144


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