Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-04-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 21 34 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 44 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 46 33 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 39 14 9 2 0 0
CDI 0 3 45 26 24 40 24 3
VCDI 0 0 1 65 148 688 7933 22766
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 41 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 38 22 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 23 25 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 9 13 28 16 0 0
CDI 0 18 36 11 42 136 46 15
VCDI 0 0 53 197 356 1630 9520 19671
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 46 97 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 41 28 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 29 41 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 27 12 49 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 35 34 244 27 2
VCDI 0 0 0 76 256 1514 10555 18905
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 21 66 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 24 42 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 24 60 4 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 46 36 34 1 1
CDI 0 0 0 26 103 147 61 13
VCDI 0 0 0 4 293 1950 10628 18467
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 22 74 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 19 40 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 21 50 3 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 46 33 31 1 1
CDI 0 0 2 29 99 130 57 13
VCDI 0 0 0 6 301 1970 10632 18467

Date: 2014-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 13 26 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 17 50 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 52 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 40 18 1 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 46 32 130 125 81
VCDI 0 0 0 12 160 1522 10056 19632
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 13 33 50 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 11 33 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 43 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 34 16 2 3 0
CDI 0 0 3 53 23 104 115 80
VCDI 0 0 0 19 169 1547 10064 19633

Date: 2014-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 23 75 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 27 42 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 65 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 40 17 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 31 159 54 39
VCDI 0 0 0 1 102 1115 9455 20745
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 22 31 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 25 21 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 24 29 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 22 15 16 1 4 0
CDI 0 0 15 51 19 57 129 10
VCDI 0 0 0 63 116 1241 9376 20774

Date: 2014-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 46 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 25 32 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 48 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 32 15 20 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 33 164 104 32
VCDI 0 0 0 9 127 1806 9089 20420
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 42 8 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 27 19 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 12 37 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 27 23 56 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 15 180 118 5
VCDI 0 0 0 25 138 1754 9057 20447

Date: 2014-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 52 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 22 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 22 46 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 39 16 5 16 30
CDI 0 0 0 34 42 90 165 116
VCDI 0 0 0 36 170 1837 12004 17307
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 48 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 23 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 19 37 4 0 2 0
ODI 0 0 7 22 21 35 21 0
CDI 0 0 2 30 45 153 181 2
VCDI 0 0 0 64 160 1744 11981 17451


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