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Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-03-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59554 19874 2228 1219 382 79 0 0
OW 53 170 310 410 287 151 13 0
VODI 0 116 194 495 375 256 32 0
ODI 0 69 75 337 359 484 83 0
CDI 0 45 64 172 732 1155 370 0
VCDI 0 9 104 234 752 3986 8986 4886
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58049 21070 2576 1053 300 60 0 0
OW 53 173 337 466 232 127 0 0
VODI 0 104 178 652 379 207 14 0
ODI 0 42 77 391 488 532 40 0
CDI 0 20 88 190 688 1019 201 0
VCDI 0 0 41 239 770 4193 9344 4707
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56677 21550 3395 1345 257 63 0 0
OW 53 124 314 669 242 64 3 0
VODI 0 52 165 656 493 223 22 0
ODI 0 6 64 265 595 478 35 0
CDI 0 0 47 169 825 1093 116 0
VCDI 0 0 8 147 493 3958 9764 4670
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58911 20489 2261 1232 351 112 2 0
OW 53 136 369 514 238 105 17 0
VODI 0 66 202 600 470 275 30 0
ODI 0 34 72 306 525 511 41 0
CDI 0 23 74 177 581 828 188 0
VCDI 0 0 25 161 570 4162 9670 4719
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58911 20594 2445 1435 493 214 1 0
OW 53 70 237 413 184 108 15 0
VODI 0 43 156 482 319 182 14 0
ODI 0 25 67 288 371 272 31 0
CDI 0 16 73 208 658 590 161 2
VCDI 0 0 25 164 710 4627 9726 4717

Date: 2014-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59397 20316 2237 1184 393 34 2 0
OW 52 185 483 416 305 79 14 0
VODI 0 64 378 500 491 220 32 0
ODI 0 23 124 356 508 440 57 0
CDI 0 18 83 308 574 762 140 0
VCDI 0 0 17 180 1146 5236 8069 4277
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59396 20449 2524 1401 618 117 4 0
OW 53 90 293 290 157 91 10 0
VODI 0 44 284 371 286 168 12 0
ODI 0 14 110 300 316 240 37 0
CDI 0 9 87 339 626 554 155 0
VCDI 0 0 24 243 1414 5601 8096 4277

Date: 2014-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59693 19822 2290 1158 390 99 0 0
OW 52 150 426 721 235 105 2 0
VODI 0 17 115 651 542 213 13 0
ODI 0 6 45 250 761 574 28 0
CDI 0 0 8 180 643 1753 347 0
VCDI 0 0 3 100 894 3588 8946 4280
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59693 19876 2311 1518 627 323 8 0
OW 52 58 239 344 204 146 22 0
VODI 0 37 168 378 295 232 42 0
ODI 0 14 76 267 340 301 57 0
CDI 0 10 63 313 717 1136 403 0
VCDI 0 0 30 240 1282 4194 8804 4280

Date: 2014-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61337 18091 2098 1344 477 60 0 0
OW 52 134 351 585 341 79 0 0
VODI 0 34 156 515 571 237 13 0
ODI 0 16 55 276 620 579 48 0
CDI 0 0 29 228 726 1587 149 0
VCDI 0 0 6 99 756 4847 8172 4432
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61336 18077 2102 1523 765 278 4 0
OW 53 106 210 305 239 120 27 0
VODI 0 50 190 373 324 244 33 0
ODI 0 19 82 329 320 346 20 0
CDI 0 19 73 300 873 1360 306 0
VCDI 0 4 38 217 970 5041 7992 4432

Date: 2014-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59544 18456 3211 1465 635 60 0 0
OW 52 110 296 515 370 98 1 0
VODI 0 31 177 493 554 318 23 0
ODI 0 21 41 269 558 682 53 0
CDI 0 2 39 256 740 1542 165 0
VCDI 0 0 0 70 636 4503 9054 4060
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59543 18494 3284 1677 981 278 6 0
OW 53 59 195 294 204 168 26 0
VODI 0 41 134 358 326 252 42 0
ODI 0 20 60 287 352 364 17 0
CDI 0 6 69 238 741 1369 100 0
VCDI 0 0 22 214 889 4772 9105 4060


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