Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-03-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 61 40 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 30 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 22 15 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 79 29 24 30 2 0
CDI 0 0 2 77 81 158 79 9
VCDI 0 0 0 76 420 1700 11093 17871
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 32 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 47 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 26 26 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 35 12 25 16 3 0
CDI 0 16 54 59 60 151 80 24
VCDI 0 0 0 59 329 1591 12863 16437
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 81 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 56 28 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 60 25 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 21 88 34 22 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 123 150 135 4
VCDI 0 0 0 1 225 1237 11325 18397
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 31 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 25 19 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 18 25 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 30 9 10 5 0 0
CDI 0 17 51 14 16 49 41 7
VCDI 0 0 4 77 196 897 9222 21180
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 47 41 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 24 18 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 15 19 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 24 11 10 4 0 0
CDI 0 17 45 5 14 40 50 8
VCDI 0 0 10 85 198 907 9213 21179

Date: 2014-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 53 48 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 38 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 19 24 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 10 18 5 4 0 0
CDI 0 17 39 18 22 95 18 2
VCDI 0 0 39 172 249 1054 9121 20895
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 71 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 20 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 13 21 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 6 13 3 3 0 0
CDI 0 17 15 19 25 92 18 0
VCDI 0 7 68 174 248 1058 9121 20897

Date: 2014-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 88 131 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 42 35 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 39 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 32 29 30 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 38 251 61 0
VCDI 0 0 0 89 285 1828 10286 18743
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 40 47 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 29 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 19 22 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 14 10 16 26 1 0
CDI 0 8 17 7 24 206 65 0
VCDI 0 2 65 175 314 1877 10283 18743

Date: 2014-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 37 87 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 33 30 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 35 37 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 9 38 59 45 2 0
CDI 0 0 2 29 111 145 61 14
VCDI 0 0 0 12 492 1829 10309 18629
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 26 26 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 27 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 18 23 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 20 13 42 48 0 0
CDI 0 10 17 9 79 115 134 32
VCDI 0 9 58 88 542 1856 10238 18611

Date: 2014-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 56 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 22 41 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 17 57 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 41 26 20 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 30 71 173 82 55
VCDI 0 0 0 4 180 1671 10457 19024
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 32 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 10 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 33 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 22 17 40 13 1
CDI 0 0 19 28 34 164 181 80
VCDI 0 0 25 87 232 1660 10348 18998


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