Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-03-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59554 19935 2268 1219 382 79 0 0
OW 53 216 340 421 287 151 13 0
VODI 0 192 216 510 375 256 32 0
ODI 0 120 154 366 391 539 85 0
CDI 0 45 66 249 832 1356 507 9
VCDI 0 9 104 367 1470 7587 34665 51628
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58049 21105 2608 1054 300 60 0 0
OW 53 188 384 473 232 127 0 0
VODI 0 152 204 678 379 207 14 0
ODI 0 73 112 403 513 581 48 0
CDI 0 36 142 249 760 1286 364 32
VCDI 0 0 41 357 1337 7576 36038 50833
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56677 21550 3476 1367 257 63 0 0
OW 53 131 370 697 244 64 3 0
VODI 0 53 225 681 499 234 29 0
ODI 0 6 85 353 633 515 78 0
CDI 0 0 47 197 968 1351 383 6
VCDI 0 0 8 204 963 6757 36860 50961
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58911 20523 2292 1237 351 112 2 0
OW 53 158 394 533 239 105 17 0
VODI 0 106 220 625 475 284 43 0
ODI 0 66 102 315 535 527 76 0
CDI 0 40 125 191 600 955 380 54
VCDI 0 0 29 271 975 6720 32603 55804
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58911 20641 2486 1446 493 214 1 0
OW 53 100 261 431 185 108 15 0
VODI 0 72 171 501 324 191 30 0
ODI 0 47 91 299 381 287 58 0
CDI 0 33 118 213 675 695 354 58
VCDI 0 0 35 282 1117 7208 32663 55800

Date: 2014-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59397 20369 2285 1191 393 34 2 0
OW 52 210 521 433 305 79 14 0
VODI 0 99 397 524 495 226 35 0
ODI 0 57 134 374 513 455 94 0
CDI 0 35 122 326 611 921 314 8
VCDI 0 0 56 385 1639 8156 31341 54446
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59396 20517 2595 1412 618 117 4 0
OW 53 110 313 308 157 91 10 0
VODI 0 72 297 392 290 177 23 0
ODI 0 38 116 313 319 248 63 0
CDI 0 26 102 358 665 693 299 16
VCDI 0 7 92 450 1907 8545 31401 54438

Date: 2014-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59693 19910 2421 1175 390 99 0 0
OW 52 152 468 756 235 105 2 0
VODI 0 17 128 690 547 214 16 0
ODI 0 6 50 282 790 612 57 0
CDI 0 0 8 211 698 2185 517 1
VCDI 0 0 3 246 1477 8701 33071 51063
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59693 19916 2358 1530 627 323 8 0
OW 52 73 268 361 204 146 22 0
VODI 0 51 187 400 298 233 47 0
ODI 0 25 90 277 356 340 80 0
CDI 0 18 80 320 758 1564 624 11
VCDI 0 2 95 472 1894 9310 32882 51053

Date: 2014-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61337 18128 2185 1355 477 60 0 0
OW 52 148 384 615 342 79 0 0
VODI 0 41 191 552 574 237 13 0
ODI 0 17 64 314 679 629 50 0
CDI 0 0 31 257 858 1928 271 21
VCDI 0 0 6 146 1482 9912 31876 51737
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61336 18103 2128 1529 765 278 4 0
OW 53 111 237 323 239 120 27 0
VODI 0 55 208 396 327 244 33 0
ODI 0 23 102 342 362 417 22 0
CDI 0 29 90 309 979 1703 518 32
VCDI 0 13 96 340 1740 10083 31606 51726

Date: 2014-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59544 18465 3267 1491 635 60 0 0
OW 52 110 318 556 370 98 1 0
VODI 0 31 194 550 563 318 23 0
ODI 0 21 48 310 584 702 56 0
CDI 0 2 40 286 834 1798 248 55
VCDI 0 0 0 117 1038 8869 33386 52008
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59543 18503 3316 1688 981 278 6 0
OW 53 59 205 312 204 168 26 0
VODI 0 41 141 391 329 252 42 0
ODI 0 20 70 309 369 404 30 1
CDI 0 6 88 269 777 1545 308 80
VCDI 0 0 47 341 1364 9198 33302 51982


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ma. 29. mai 15:15:29 +0000 2017 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy