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Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-03-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56661 22265 2964 1064 352 87 0 0
OW 53 201 480 544 175 107 0 0
VODI 0 77 252 703 304 207 7 0
ODI 0 28 72 493 313 396 56 0
CDI 0 18 35 480 650 604 138 0
VCDI 0 0 36 213 1682 5389 8231 3763
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59378 19857 2185 1098 411 122 0 0
OW 53 162 455 502 163 153 3 0
VODI 0 87 317 533 293 278 44 0
ODI 0 19 130 460 388 400 79 0
CDI 0 1 64 360 600 769 259 0
VCDI 0 0 41 560 1547 4356 8538 4435
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57602 21847 2677 1173 215 12 0 0
OW 53 144 300 701 200 41 0 0
VODI 0 56 198 642 467 173 1 0
ODI 0 6 69 400 664 417 20 0
CDI 0 0 65 158 1044 875 136 0
VCDI 0 0 11 216 1413 4926 8853 3325
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59988 19642 2349 1204 349 18 0 0
OW 53 128 291 556 253 87 0 0
VODI 0 77 138 599 449 188 15 0
ODI 0 24 72 295 544 482 38 0
CDI 0 4 56 191 826 1094 230 0
VCDI 0 0 36 182 852 4420 8727 4643
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59988 19723 2522 1514 475 102 0 0
OW 53 86 166 425 233 91 0 0
VODI 0 49 92 419 381 179 16 0
ODI 0 14 65 269 373 253 25 0
CDI 0 3 60 215 784 830 189 0
VCDI 0 0 37 185 1027 4834 8780 4643

Date: 2014-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57330 21426 2784 1275 287 72 0 0
OW 53 126 373 437 272 119 4 0
VODI 0 104 190 590 353 246 32 0
ODI 0 92 59 385 417 459 72 0
CDI 0 38 72 145 685 1108 228 0
VCDI 0 0 91 271 781 3713 9786 4625
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57330 21501 3013 1470 438 173 5 0
OW 53 75 219 361 220 108 13 0
VODI 0 83 133 456 284 203 32 0
ODI 0 75 54 332 245 232 66 0
CDI 0 52 48 201 616 732 131 0
VCDI 0 0 102 283 992 4269 9875 4625

Date: 2014-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56865 22525 2428 1127 199 70 0 0
OW 52 264 296 679 239 57 0 0
VODI 0 73 151 712 480 220 11 0
ODI 0 0 59 251 676 514 33 0
CDI 0 0 29 187 672 1441 137 0
VCDI 0 0 5 104 566 3827 9588 4563
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56864 22615 2410 1380 452 263 17 0
OW 53 119 171 362 171 96 11 0
VODI 0 65 173 428 251 186 20 0
ODI 0 35 79 316 281 256 42 0
CDI 0 19 63 280 652 738 198 0
VCDI 0 9 72 294 1025 4590 9481 4563

Date: 2014-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57395 21576 2786 1145 302 52 0 0
OW 53 211 331 503 246 74 1 0
VODI 0 114 230 554 498 218 19 0
ODI 0 20 89 277 525 528 40 0
CDI 0 5 55 172 594 1107 86 0
VCDI 0 1 41 148 644 4373 9033 5054
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57394 21667 2765 1322 551 241 4 0
OW 54 141 254 299 186 79 12 0
VODI 0 79 228 306 336 156 25 0
ODI 0 29 122 288 290 237 41 0
CDI 0 10 78 296 606 1117 269 0
VCDI 0 1 85 288 840 4522 8828 5054

Date: 2014-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59410 20287 2330 1044 359 50 6 0
OW 53 180 433 494 240 48 20 0
VODI 0 76 330 674 433 165 28 0
ODI 0 34 98 372 546 442 33 0
CDI 0 24 93 261 681 697 61 0
VCDI 0 0 9 202 899 5195 8001 4792
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59410 20441 2589 1325 538 156 33 0
OW 53 71 249 385 183 85 10 0
VODI 0 60 196 424 292 159 25 0
ODI 0 17 118 293 295 248 20 0
CDI 0 12 83 312 545 633 52 0
VCDI 0 0 58 308 1305 5316 8009 4792


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