Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-03-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 85 18 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 31 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 21 9 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 101 13 17 1 7 3 0
CDI 0 54 90 68 9 55 120 21
VCDI 0 1 45 176 351 1190 9704 19781
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 43 17 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 37 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 32 9 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 25 14 1 18 4 0
CDI 0 18 50 11 13 155 85 11
VCDI 0 4 145 217 305 1721 10124 18920
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 128 48 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 97 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 56 102 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 48 26 7 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 55 144 81 5
VCDI 0 0 0 102 262 1089 11181 18516
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 54 69 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 37 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 102 28 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 16 81 16 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 61 98 71 2
VCDI 0 0 0 85 278 1132 10346 19398
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 83 97 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 23 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 88 26 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 16 59 9 11 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 42 92 68 3
VCDI 0 0 0 99 304 1139 10347 19397

Date: 2014-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 50 30 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 33 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 15 18 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 67 41 10 51 18 15 0
CDI 0 2 33 74 90 180 123 22
VCDI 0 0 0 85 424 2061 11037 17495
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 75 45 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 26 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 15 16 13 0 3 0
ODI 0 45 24 9 45 22 15 0
CDI 0 19 40 28 79 174 126 25
VCDI 0 0 2 132 431 2063 11031 17492

Date: 2014-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 95 62 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 40 25 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 63 39 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 63 35 19 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 89 247 104 2
VCDI 0 0 0 3 258 1340 11950 17539
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 50 43 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 21 27 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 17 13 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 16 12 24 25 13 0
CDI 0 30 26 13 47 141 70 12
VCDI 0 0 40 96 310 1440 11983 17529

Date: 2014-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 47 33 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 27 19 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 24 18 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 50 9 11 4 1 0
CDI 0 3 29 71 32 107 72 10
VCDI 0 0 0 19 239 1145 10086 19931
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 27 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 18 18 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 22 12 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 16 10 9 6 9 0
CDI 0 31 16 21 33 84 153 12
VCDI 0 22 64 73 239 1166 9997 19929

Date: 2014-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 21 34 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 44 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 46 33 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 39 14 9 2 0 0
CDI 0 3 45 26 24 40 24 3
VCDI 0 0 1 65 148 688 7933 22766
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 15 24 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 9 16 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 11 24 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 15 9 9 0 3 0
CDI 0 11 27 5 12 6 96 44
VCDI 0 36 123 97 156 724 7858 22725


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