Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-03-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 72 41 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 30 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 31 30 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 273 119 60 4 3 1 0
CDI 0 23 55 147 62 47 39 5
VCDI 0 1 21 72 436 1322 9845 19210
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 56 51 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 9 22 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 24 20 12 4 0 0
ODI 0 103 16 11 26 18 0 0
CDI 0 278 31 47 61 102 50 10
VCDI 0 85 150 205 358 1812 9932 18456
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 123 74 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 72 9 21 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 292 56 26 13 4 0 0
ODI 0 72 85 47 37 19 2 0
CDI 0 3 38 107 132 132 116 23
VCDI 0 0 15 91 389 1917 8952 19199
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 99 37 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 24 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 15 10 1 4 0 0
ODI 0 137 87 41 5 12 15 0
CDI 0 20 58 79 33 106 180 21
VCDI 0 0 39 148 372 1473 9810 19116
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 147 48 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 33 18 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 11 8 0 2 0 0
ODI 0 121 80 34 0 14 17 0
CDI 0 21 59 73 17 84 183 25
VCDI 0 0 44 161 394 1495 9805 19112

Date: 2014-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 44 29 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 28 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 24 12 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 12 19 0 0 1 0
CDI 0 94 36 8 11 47 92 46
VCDI 0 2 102 194 314 1150 7939 21726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 79 49 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 24 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 14 14 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 6 15 0 0 2 0
CDI 0 73 15 2 9 42 121 64
VCDI 0 28 123 198 316 1155 7909 21708

Date: 2014-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 170 68 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 116 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 25 79 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 48 22 26 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 65 181 110 2
VCDI 0 0 0 67 248 1562 11340 17820
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 76 27 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 35 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 24 12 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 15 17 0 29 23 0
CDI 0 24 17 21 12 203 136 11
VCDI 0 39 92 214 330 1537 11296 17811

Date: 2014-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 93 49 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 36 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 87 85 46 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 65 14 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 58 142 50 5
VCDI 0 0 0 102 284 968 10917 18921
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 48 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 28 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 18 21 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 6 8 4 37 26 0
CDI 0 28 16 24 25 156 158 4
VCDI 0 45 63 225 327 929 10783 18922

Date: 2014-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 61 40 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 30 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 22 15 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 79 29 24 30 2 0
CDI 0 0 2 77 81 158 79 9
VCDI 0 0 0 76 420 1700 11093 17871
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 89 38 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 21 7 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 26 11 4 1 1 0
ODI 0 24 22 7 25 46 39 0
CDI 0 17 25 39 43 163 166 3
VCDI 0 16 41 140 452 1678 10968 17877


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