Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-03-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57827 22501 2939 836 132 2 0 0
OW 52 166 489 606 165 17 0 0
VODI 0 118 262 696 493 160 0 0
ODI 0 0 80 519 718 394 15 0
CDI 0 0 9 340 631 743 277 0
VCDI 0 0 0 78 867 4156 9672 3140
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57642 21665 3129 912 236 10 0 0
OW 53 181 485 499 158 26 0 0
VODI 0 100 303 647 356 110 4 0
ODI 0 54 149 466 458 240 23 0
CDI 0 0 65 462 691 773 111 0
VCDI 0 0 11 326 1712 4672 9192 3179
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57210 22767 3349 1091 238 1 0 0
OW 52 143 351 659 153 13 0 0
VODI 0 43 143 722 368 88 0 0
ODI 0 0 44 539 569 235 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 366 837 635 50 0
VCDI 0 0 0 109 1243 5239 7428 4414
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57071 22846 2946 1232 358 17 0 0
OW 52 111 456 552 197 53 6 0
VODI 0 26 244 670 302 164 18 0
ODI 0 10 39 611 446 302 35 0
CDI 0 1 20 291 814 617 100 0
VCDI 0 0 10 131 1624 5486 6984 4258
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57071 22938 3256 1654 522 69 16 0
OW 52 35 252 368 156 67 15 0
VODI 0 11 130 470 256 119 26 0
ODI 0 9 40 450 332 181 27 0
CDI 0 1 25 365 665 553 80 0
VCDI 0 0 12 180 1810 5650 6979 4258

Date: 2014-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57985 22531 2231 1138 404 59 0 0
OW 52 300 457 511 200 94 0 0
VODI 0 156 305 472 323 190 6 0
ODI 0 37 206 544 342 359 42 0
CDI 0 3 74 451 583 1021 144 0
VCDI 0 0 29 460 1480 4456 8171 3284
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57985 22814 2568 1628 581 142 0 0
OW 52 117 217 260 178 95 3 0
VODI 0 74 201 294 239 142 32 0
ODI 0 17 163 298 276 209 47 0
CDI 0 5 91 416 443 807 134 0
VCDI 0 0 62 680 1615 4784 8147 3284

Date: 2014-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59569 21216 2347 1115 342 73 0 0
OW 51 257 591 725 190 54 0 0
VODI 0 21 211 961 377 140 0 0
ODI 0 0 34 387 568 271 79 0
CDI 0 0 1 271 722 1411 279 0
VCDI 0 0 0 67 699 3457 9104 3510
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59568 21203 2428 1521 592 210 0 0
OW 52 126 193 318 148 106 9 0
VODI 0 85 200 310 232 181 25 0
ODI 0 37 126 259 205 221 40 0
CDI 0 31 93 369 345 681 143 0
VCDI 0 12 144 749 1376 4007 9245 3510

Date: 2014-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59762 20036 2307 1303 425 162 0 0
OW 52 164 469 549 212 125 0 0
VODI 0 20 175 800 339 194 23 0
ODI 0 0 37 490 520 320 80 0
CDI 0 0 7 237 949 960 214 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 882 4264 8707 4289
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59762 20039 2347 1639 644 424 36 0
OW 52 95 240 283 155 113 44 0
VODI 0 69 172 335 293 162 55 0
ODI 0 17 141 243 230 201 52 0
CDI 0 0 67 369 370 637 172 0
VCDI 0 0 28 537 1635 4488 8665 4289

Date: 2014-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56661 22265 2964 1064 352 87 0 0
OW 53 201 480 544 175 107 0 0
VODI 0 77 252 703 304 207 7 0
ODI 0 28 72 493 313 396 56 0
CDI 0 18 35 480 650 604 138 0
VCDI 0 0 36 213 1682 5389 8231 3763
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56661 22321 3150 1522 585 288 7 0
OW 53 109 198 302 144 128 24 0
VODI 0 73 187 375 231 195 39 0
ODI 0 38 102 275 161 234 52 0
CDI 0 33 79 313 294 526 79 0
VCDI 0 15 123 710 2061 5419 8231 3763


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