Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-03-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 64 50 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 34 37 32 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 137 31 32 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 122 51 17 5 0 0 0
CDI 0 60 114 36 55 23 19 18
VCDI 0 11 42 166 222 979 9817 19884
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 40 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 29 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 70 16 12 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 165 12 16 1 8 2 0
CDI 0 132 118 54 27 156 107 21
VCDI 0 41 105 216 358 1327 11178 17761
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 101 63 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 45 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 219 73 31 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 126 113 68 2 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 36 128 65 62 22 17
VCDI 0 0 0 59 364 1910 10481 18022
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 44 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 43 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 69 24 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 214 184 73 13 3 0 0
CDI 0 7 44 112 95 56 36 0
VCDI 0 0 8 90 404 1403 9725 19217
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 68 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 46 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 57 25 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 189 142 49 4 3 1 0
CDI 0 22 52 107 81 67 39 0
VCDI 0 9 27 115 427 1392 9721 19217

Date: 2014-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 61 45 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 20 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 25 23 1 2 0 0
ODI 0 137 32 13 11 8 2 0
CDI 0 274 123 53 56 51 56 0
VCDI 0 5 50 189 438 1788 9970 18513
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 101 70 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 14 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 15 20 0 2 0 0
ODI 0 114 34 16 9 5 5 0
CDI 0 235 70 31 53 54 53 0
VCDI 0 38 92 205 444 1788 9970 18513

Date: 2014-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 80 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 264 26 20 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 191 95 33 20 1 0 0
ODI 0 17 57 113 69 33 1 0
CDI 0 0 26 78 141 116 75 23
VCDI 0 0 3 60 348 1853 9498 18657
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 158 79 19 10 0 0 0
OW 0 43 8 23 6 4 0 0
VODI 0 62 2 27 35 7 0 0
ODI 0 93 16 23 72 41 6 0
CDI 0 163 22 39 111 123 127 20
VCDI 0 107 160 197 350 1828 9441 18660

Date: 2014-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 119 49 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 66 22 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 174 49 23 5 4 0 0
ODI 0 79 78 63 28 12 9 0
CDI 0 22 53 74 65 125 191 17
VCDI 0 0 24 124 408 1926 9470 18791
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 132 63 2 4 3 0 0
OW 0 39 9 13 8 5 0 0
VODI 0 51 19 29 33 41 1 0
ODI 0 67 17 24 70 68 74 0
CDI 0 84 45 41 46 184 249 19
VCDI 0 87 122 187 345 1766 9346 18789

Date: 2014-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 85 18 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 31 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 21 9 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 101 13 17 1 7 3 0
CDI 0 54 90 68 9 55 120 21
VCDI 0 1 45 176 351 1190 9704 19781
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 103 27 0 0 1 0 0
OW 0 29 30 3 0 6 0 0
VODI 0 31 14 6 2 10 0 0
ODI 0 28 16 18 15 24 39 0
CDI 0 66 20 32 42 171 323 26
VCDI 0 92 111 214 302 1040 9465 19776


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