Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-02-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 100 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 38 17 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 57 18 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 71 59 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 106 75 27 13 40 0
VCDI 0 0 92 123 335 982 10128 19770
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 57 42 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 34 15 13 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 24 8 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 30 29 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 54 49 81 17 85 65 0
VCDI 0 28 49 170 219 1462 12866 16560
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 89 54 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 77 30 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 112 74 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 38 83 25 1 0 0
CDI 0 16 10 54 77 19 30 9
VCDI 0 3 20 54 221 1418 13229 16117
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 63 41 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 29 27 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 115 58 35 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 127 69 26 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 55 73 53 35 28 56 17
VCDI 0 12 26 126 239 1143 11364 18175
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 139 98 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 16 34 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 38 23 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 86 39 17 6 1 0 0
CDI 0 56 67 29 29 25 53 37
VCDI 0 24 38 150 245 1145 11367 18155

Date: 2014-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 51 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 43 22 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 29 21 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 162 44 22 6 10 0 0
CDI 0 122 89 25 52 65 17 0
VCDI 0 34 81 177 314 1417 9610 19436
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 75 85 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 33 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 193 37 21 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 75 21 23 7 14 0 0
CDI 0 56 36 20 36 56 20 0
VCDI 0 91 125 172 329 1422 9607 19436

Date: 2014-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 122 95 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 71 48 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 211 136 65 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 27 124 29 6 1 0
CDI 0 0 5 73 108 148 83 33
VCDI 0 0 0 36 297 1435 11354 17559
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 60 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 38 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 19 17 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 73 10 25 0 3 1 0
CDI 0 118 60 47 34 116 45 49
VCDI 0 81 124 219 400 1470 11392 17543

Date: 2014-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 90 68 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 83 23 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 192 65 26 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 217 110 48 5 9 0 0
CDI 0 10 58 105 67 103 9 0
VCDI 0 0 1 115 469 1802 9723 18666
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 77 66 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 20 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 8 17 2 2 0 0
ODI 0 48 5 7 6 8 0 0
CDI 0 157 48 15 51 90 21 15
VCDI 0 230 178 249 483 1814 9711 18651

Date: 2014-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 72 41 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 30 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 31 30 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 273 119 60 4 3 1 0
CDI 0 23 55 147 62 47 39 5
VCDI 0 1 21 72 436 1322 9845 19210
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 86 42 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 24 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 21 19 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 43 15 12 1 2 0 0
CDI 0 109 36 23 31 37 18 0
VCDI 0 178 159 258 470 1333 9867 19215


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