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Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-02-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56428 23856 4074 958 57 0 0 0
OW 52 160 605 541 147 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 311 690 301 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 101 499 502 105 10 0
CDI 0 0 27 403 829 287 23 0
VCDI 0 0 1 161 2134 3840 8630 3305
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57529 22746 3644 952 221 10 0 0
OW 52 262 560 472 165 29 0 0
VODI 0 22 423 611 301 79 5 0
ODI 0 0 113 510 446 134 47 0
CDI 0 0 18 446 785 314 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 287 1814 4254 7877 3926
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57474 24162 3311 1034 70 3 0 0
OW 51 245 482 697 165 2 0 0
VODI 0 25 100 765 386 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 17 423 548 146 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 210 945 468 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 62 1818 4123 7232 4007
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57971 23715 2616 906 91 24 0 0
OW 51 652 484 429 177 3 0 0
VODI 0 300 392 682 362 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 63 485 496 152 3 0
CDI 0 0 20 361 1077 529 45 0
VCDI 0 0 10 100 1479 3982 8325 3065
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57971 24484 3015 1189 187 26 0 0
OW 51 170 295 366 191 16 0 0
VODI 0 12 203 507 318 92 0 0
ODI 0 1 45 397 391 121 6 0
CDI 0 0 14 341 943 377 35 0
VCDI 0 0 13 163 1652 4111 8332 3065

Date: 2014-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58101 22271 3456 997 111 0 0 0
OW 52 572 417 393 111 11 0 0
VODI 0 497 483 630 258 29 3 0
ODI 0 72 205 627 404 73 18 0
CDI 0 0 6 468 833 427 88 0
VCDI 0 0 0 218 1668 4773 7971 2857
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58101 23068 3846 1233 177 5 0 0
OW 52 129 289 359 95 21 0 0
VODI 0 161 258 494 254 36 14 0
ODI 0 54 149 506 325 51 31 0
CDI 0 0 23 402 611 337 57 0
VCDI 0 0 2 339 1923 4863 7978 2857

Date: 2014-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59172 22641 3360 994 75 0 0 0
OW 51 354 573 832 156 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 89 912 692 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 309 618 290 2 0
CDI 0 0 3 189 858 842 95 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 617 3936 7650 3700
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59171 22488 3208 1163 232 1 0 0
OW 52 232 295 307 137 16 0 0
VODI 0 209 262 434 218 49 1 0
ODI 0 71 180 404 252 104 37 0
CDI 0 0 76 434 564 343 117 0
VCDI 0 0 11 527 1613 4600 7592 3700

Date: 2014-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59091 21627 3203 1301 71 0 0 0
OW 51 32 479 909 189 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 188 1341 764 119 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 332 764 415 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 153 977 963 187 0
VCDI 0 0 0 52 862 3903 9071 2036
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59090 21511 3319 1595 160 2 0 0
OW 52 70 251 520 163 15 0 0
VODI 0 52 151 689 301 46 1 0
ODI 0 15 62 552 437 163 39 0
CDI 0 8 41 374 761 755 202 0
VCDI 0 3 52 358 1805 4423 9026 2036

Date: 2014-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56682 22883 3598 1328 119 1 0 0
OW 52 197 489 662 214 14 0 0
VODI 0 82 253 1073 596 58 4 0
ODI 0 8 110 721 863 305 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 168 798 1128 163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 535 3198 10194 2570
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56682 22874 3779 1589 211 33 9 0
OW 52 115 219 421 151 21 12 0
VODI 0 117 176 577 295 60 25 0
ODI 0 45 123 476 380 153 31 0
CDI 0 17 81 543 720 758 131 0
VCDI 0 2 72 362 1368 3679 10171 2570


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