Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-02-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 95 22 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 27 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 71 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 55 56 26 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 67 23 47 33 1
VCDI 0 0 0 15 129 1265 12354 17664
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 66 32 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 21 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 21 35 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 75 15 14 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 42 84 20 0 24 10 41
VCDI 0 0 8 90 91 869 10510 19952
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 117 45 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 68 17 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 149 70 25 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 47 25 0 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 20 47 14 55 46 27
VCDI 0 0 3 111 167 1228 10685 19092
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 102 40 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 20 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 193 19 16 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 68 44 50 8 2 0 0
CDI 0 19 47 44 25 27 26 32
VCDI 0 0 34 179 276 912 10134 19697
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 44 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 97 20 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 17 14 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 57 35 49 4 2 0 1
CDI 0 16 38 37 32 39 28 35
VCDI 0 1 50 186 269 900 10132 19693

Date: 2014-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 73 37 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 16 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 33 13 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 81 65 26 6 3 0 0
CDI 0 31 87 68 40 18 3 13
VCDI 0 0 17 219 247 622 9262 20969
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 90 47 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 11 14 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 28 18 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 90 58 17 4 3 0 0
CDI 0 40 52 53 37 14 3 16
VCDI 0 0 59 236 251 626 9262 20966

Date: 2014-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 149 64 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 98 31 21 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 79 154 57 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 45 94 22 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 76 71 42 40 1
VCDI 0 0 0 49 194 1092 9897 19761
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 72 40 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 11 14 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 13 10 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 70 30 11 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 47 63 23 13 30 59 3
VCDI 0 78 143 248 272 1104 9878 19759

Date: 2014-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 49 78 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 11 14 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 23 42 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 75 56 19 2 0 0
CDI 0 56 95 81 102 56 50 0
VCDI 0 0 12 83 312 991 10392 19340
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 25 56 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 19 12 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 15 14 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 16 12 9 2 0 0
CDI 0 28 47 32 60 31 35 0
VCDI 0 94 141 208 370 1016 10407 19340

Date: 2014-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 100 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 38 17 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 57 18 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 71 59 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 106 75 27 13 40 0
VCDI 0 0 92 123 335 982 10128 19770
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 59 19 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 21 7 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 17 18 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 20 8 5 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 47 12 7 7 35 23
VCDI 0 0 300 246 353 986 10133 19747


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