Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-02-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 50 24 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 29 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 23 31 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 111 44 9 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 6 64 24 0 15 34 17
VCDI 0 0 9 77 108 701 12808 17831
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 39 30 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 13 29 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 19 31 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 22 10 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 64 80 48 5 51 22 6
VCDI 0 0 18 52 111 1069 11262 18998
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 52 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 55 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 103 69 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 48 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 79 118 15 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 90 2029 10523 18661
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 22 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 34 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 108 107 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 44 46 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 40 104 27 5
VCDI 0 0 0 14 113 1862 12141 17196
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 157 45 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 44 53 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 86 19 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 23 29 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 29 128 36 7
VCDI 0 0 0 22 124 1838 12132 17194

Date: 2014-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 48 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 32 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 40 31 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 89 61 9 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 2 40 64 2 62 9 2
VCDI 0 0 0 33 91 1322 10545 19494
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 70 66 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 25 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 29 23 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 92 77 10 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 24 56 7 69 13 3
VCDI 0 0 0 38 86 1315 10541 19493

Date: 2014-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 103 52 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 79 26 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 89 46 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 22 21 0 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 9 50 9 26 71 43
VCDI 0 0 0 52 135 876 10294 19969
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 77 44 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 13 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 18 17 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 14 35 0 2 1 0
CDI 0 88 23 11 3 32 96 56
VCDI 0 7 86 114 141 870 10268 19956

Date: 2014-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 130 38 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 86 22 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 178 41 17 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 49 28 3 2 0 0
CDI 0 9 35 39 30 43 44 15
VCDI 0 0 23 148 277 1217 11021 18557
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 170 47 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 35 15 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 19 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 18 32 0 5 1 0
CDI 0 42 7 20 19 84 55 27
VCDI 0 99 102 177 291 1173 11009 18545

Date: 2014-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 81 40 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 17 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 48 18 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 80 61 33 21 4 0 1
CDI 0 3 95 68 11 27 16 15
VCDI 0 0 8 219 268 714 9966 20100
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 76 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 15 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 18 10 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 14 20 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 23 17 39 27 14 2 0
VCDI 0 44 129 255 261 731 9980 20116


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