Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-02-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 74 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 50 23 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 1 49 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 15 278 58 0
VCDI 0 0 0 100 405 2550 17037 25172
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 1 99 57 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 13 62 63 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 22 331 127 0
VCDI 0 0 0 97 417 3120 15814 25606
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 12 44 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 23 218 51 0
VCDI 0 0 0 122 408 2410 18503 24004
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 11 65 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 37 185 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 182 407 2760 18899 23261
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 13 66 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 32 167 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 193 410 2774 18902 23261

Date: 2014-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 51 84 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 171 416 2750 17819 24547
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 10 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 48 96 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 170 414 2738 17821 24547

Date: 2014-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 39 75 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 146 396 2825 16966 25338
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 20 89 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 195 420 2811 16963 25338

Date: 2014-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 18 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 28 48 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 47 429 3319 18134 23821
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 7 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 18 71 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 47 450 3295 18124 23821

Date: 2014-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 63 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 248 2789 16777 25953
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 64 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 248 2788 16778 25953


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