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Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-01-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59721 22292 2590 1066 254 32 0 0
OW 51 76 509 662 181 29 0 0
VODI 0 2 253 619 443 125 2 0
ODI 0 0 82 376 505 167 39 0
CDI 0 0 22 274 562 615 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 222 1000 4705 7272 4337
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60790 20468 2955 1186 183 68 0 0
OW 52 261 465 615 202 14 4 0
VODI 0 57 306 707 375 105 62 0
ODI 0 4 130 377 521 81 58 0
CDI 0 0 75 270 873 411 23 0
VCDI 0 0 48 315 900 4344 7867 3928
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58197 22627 4614 1032 107 42 3 0
OW 51 66 463 921 166 9 0 0
VODI 0 1 153 828 433 64 7 0
ODI 0 0 28 356 705 133 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 273 876 637 179 0
VCDI 0 0 0 84 479 3532 7746 4250
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59452 21804 3291 1338 205 0 0 0
OW 51 87 582 718 214 4 0 0
VODI 0 19 193 900 405 67 1 0
ODI 0 0 60 420 691 152 27 0
CDI 0 0 29 250 1066 506 140 0
VCDI 0 0 5 161 1183 3033 7818 4228
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59452 21881 3705 1913 372 71 11 0
OW 51 25 237 500 198 42 8 0
VODI 0 4 125 550 345 59 26 0
ODI 0 0 50 363 562 83 27 0
CDI 0 0 36 221 971 479 107 0
VCDI 0 0 7 240 1316 3028 7807 4228

Date: 2014-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57019 23739 3470 1313 335 8 0 0
OW 51 76 510 737 237 5 0 0
VODI 0 37 191 816 467 67 6 0
ODI 0 1 84 407 790 109 45 0
CDI 0 0 17 299 959 619 67 0
VCDI 0 0 12 166 910 3585 7867 4079
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57019 23834 3856 1975 580 70 13 0
OW 51 17 206 424 203 29 28 0
VODI 0 2 118 491 360 40 27 0
ODI 0 0 65 289 589 66 8 0
CDI 0 0 25 283 894 573 100 0
VCDI 0 0 14 276 1072 3615 7809 4079

Date: 2014-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55463 24944 4433 1091 121 7 0 0
OW 51 28 482 868 193 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 88 912 495 51 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 307 789 193 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 130 995 943 86 0
VCDI 0 0 0 34 838 3765 7675 4108
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55463 24938 4394 1659 441 110 17 0
OW 51 29 242 371 181 38 15 0
VODI 0 5 225 391 325 81 47 0
ODI 0 0 86 297 330 112 19 0
CDI 0 0 35 306 614 475 17 0
VCDI 0 0 22 318 1540 4143 7655 4108

Date: 2014-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57260 23314 3961 937 87 8 0 0
OW 51 73 542 725 136 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 183 851 367 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 525 601 86 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 240 1027 408 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 49 1681 3792 7820 4277
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57259 23348 4130 1530 370 43 3 0
OW 52 32 251 366 152 27 13 0
VODI 0 7 200 451 277 70 18 0
ODI 0 0 83 325 312 100 27 0
CDI 0 0 26 321 641 229 43 0
VCDI 0 0 4 334 2147 3831 7801 4277

Date: 2014-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56428 23856 4074 958 57 0 0 0
OW 52 160 605 541 147 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 311 690 301 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 101 499 502 105 10 0
CDI 0 0 27 403 829 287 23 0
VCDI 0 0 1 161 2134 3840 8630 3305
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56428 23915 4275 1491 405 44 5 0
OW 52 90 269 301 149 36 7 0
VODI 0 34 263 336 257 81 10 0
ODI 0 10 182 223 263 117 11 0
CDI 0 0 79 363 488 329 80 0
VCDI 0 0 51 538 2408 3655 8550 3305


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