Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-01-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 27 25 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 43 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 46 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 37 4 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 59 13 7 1 18 24 0
VCDI 0 93 89 94 137 1029 13427 16859
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 25 20 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 18 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 18 24 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 20 27 0 4 0 0
CDI 0 34 22 9 0 72 32 3
VCDI 0 116 111 96 106 767 11845 18671
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 32 45 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 17 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 39 35 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 81 77 51 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 22 12 7 4
VCDI 0 0 0 7 88 562 9035 21826
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 25 56 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 38 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 32 29 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 101 80 11 0 1 2 0
CDI 0 0 21 65 7 42 84 0
VCDI 0 0 0 38 111 985 13214 17103
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 27 67 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 31 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 30 27 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 100 65 10 0 1 4 0
CDI 0 0 29 52 11 39 74 0
VCDI 0 0 5 52 107 988 13222 17103

Date: 2014-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 41 24 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 16 29 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 22 39 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 68 30 6 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 55 63 33 1 24 10 0
VCDI 0 0 19 66 115 521 10408 20434
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 44 26 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 14 23 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 18 29 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 21 9 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 77 44 25 1 16 11 2
VCDI 0 12 51 76 115 529 10407 20432

Date: 2014-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 77 69 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 79 74 27 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 35 78 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 4 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 84 169 53 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 1012 9534 20640
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 36 31 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 12 25 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 14 29 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 13 14 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 52 42 49 37 88 59 50
VCDI 0 31 66 52 92 1096 9528 20597

Date: 2014-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 73 51 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 35 45 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 166 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 41 43 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 41 83 19 3
VCDI 0 0 0 16 164 2209 11547 17399
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 59 73 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 32 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 30 11 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 18 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 31 29 14 6 62 43 19
VCDI 0 37 121 102 199 2230 11523 17383

Date: 2014-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 95 22 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 27 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 71 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 55 56 26 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 67 23 47 33 1
VCDI 0 0 0 15 129 1265 12354 17664
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ		 OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ		 VCDI
m
o
d
e
l		 Ice free 0 69 16 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 32 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 34 8 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 9 2 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 39 5 5 0 6 39 6
VCDI 0 91 83 102 152 1306 12348 17659


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