Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-01-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 10 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 106 144 33 10
VCDI 0 0 0 148 679 4518 15608 24545
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 22 38 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 50 171 47 0
VCDI 0 0 0 111 537 3387 15830 25576
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 5 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 43 80 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 106 360 36 6
VCDI 0 0 0 38 566 3723 15829 25008
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 39 6 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 37 34 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 1 25 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 28 287 84 0
VCDI 0 0 0 43 388 2980 17225 24635
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 24 1 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 34 16 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 0 19 30 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 3 20 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 30 283 67 0
VCDI 0 0 0 42 384 2988 17247 24635

Date: 2014-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 5 80 9 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 0 59 19 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 3 59 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 31 294 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 92 399 3000 16749 24905
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 3 56 2 0
OW 0 0 0 0 2 58 11 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 0 38 22 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 7 39 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 35 270 66 0
VCDI 0 0 0 85 391 3031 16782 24905

Date: 2014-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 20 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 9 59 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 34 294 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 121 407 2646 15988 26146
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 15 19 0
VODI 0 0 0 15 0 61 95 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 8 45 63 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 21 167 140 0
VCDI 0 0 0 134 421 2712 15767 26146

Date: 2014-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 0 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 8 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 30 237 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 111 382 2769 17118 25078
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 3 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 12 169 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 17 214 108 0
VCDI 0 0 0 117 388 2690 16978 25078

Date: 2014-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 5 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 23 78 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 193 403 2760 18344 24042
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 5 3 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 22 321 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 204 404 2514 18203 24042


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