Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2014-01-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 88 35 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 27 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 16 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 82 5 6 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 50 61 34 13 12 9 4
VCDI 0 0 20 94 151 718 10028 20526
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 73 40 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 53 32 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 15 7 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 11 7 5 0 0 0
CDI 0 68 37 19 17 34 14 4
VCDI 0 1 41 139 171 1239 11974 17984
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 73 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 13 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 20 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 42 3 5 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 113 45 4 4 44 61 3
VCDI 0 0 22 75 176 1676 12449 17136
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 28 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 36 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 48 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 38 8 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 38 14 8 4 43 44 7
VCDI 0 51 84 90 96 1064 12412 17901
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 48 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 31 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 40 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 27 6 2 1 0 0
CDI 0 29 11 5 3 45 41 11
VCDI 0 60 91 94 95 1061 12415 17897

Date: 2014-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 27 25 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 34 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 32 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 35 17 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 56 14 6 0 14 58 0
VCDI 0 136 96 91 108 838 13192 17255
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 41 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 29 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 25 8 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 30 11 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 41 13 9 0 19 70 0
VCDI 0 151 98 91 108 833 13180 17255

Date: 2014-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 43 46 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 33 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 162 87 50 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 53 9 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 36 54 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 777 11040 19547
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 21 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 26 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 18 13 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 5 22 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 18 5 8 0 44 70 8
VCDI 0 149 94 100 110 787 10985 19539

Date: 2014-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 48 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 19 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 20 34 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 116 80 24 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 67 34 20 80 20
VCDI 0 0 0 13 81 541 11204 19592
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 25 25 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 29 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 18 18 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 7 22 0 1 10 0
CDI 0 18 11 25 0 22 173 12
VCDI 0 111 80 89 115 538 11101 19600

Date: 2014-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 50 24 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 29 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 23 31 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 111 44 9 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 6 64 24 0 15 34 17
VCDI 0 0 9 77 108 701 12808 17831
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 23 18 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 9 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 10 24 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 13 14 0 1 3 0
CDI 0 19 10 7 0 23 262 110
VCDI 0 139 133 108 108 692 12577 17738


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